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Seeing Sideways - Spotting Patterns vs. Chasing Ghosts (Apophenia): A Guide to Clear Thinking

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Manage episode 516844389 series 3305380
Content provided by Jason Birkevold Liem. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jason Birkevold Liem or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Get in touch with us! We’d appreciate your feedback and comments.

“Clarity means letting insight be earned, not assumed.”

Have you ever convinced yourself that “this always happens”—only to realise it might just be a coincidence?

In this episode of Seeing Sideways, I explore how our brains connect the dots—even when there’s no real picture to see. We dig into pattern-seeking and apophenia, the bias that fuels superstition, flawed decisions, and false clarity—and I share tools to help you stay curious, grounded, and resilient in a chaotic world.

Key Takeaways and Tools:

  • What Pattern-Seeking & Apophenia Really Are
    My brain is built to find structure—even when none exists. From seeing faces in clouds to believing that “everything always goes wrong,” apophenia makes meaning out of random noise.
    [01:32]
  • The Evolutionary Purpose Behind It
    It made sense to spot a predator that wasn’t there. The cost of false positives was low. But in modern life, these mental shortcuts often mislead us more than protect us.
    [03:00]
  • The Hidden Costs
    Apophenia can drain my energy, warp my judgment, and feed everything from magical thinking to bad decision-making. I explore how this bias shows up at work and in relationships.
    [04:27]
  • The Contrarian Move: Curiosity Before Certainty
    I’ve learned to pause when something “clicks” as a pattern. Just because it feels meaningful doesn’t mean it is. Introducing doubt gives space for clarity.
    [06:09]
  • Apply the Rule of Three
    For a pattern to be worth trusting, I now look for three things: repetition, relevance, and reason.
    [06:13]
  • Track, Don’t Assume
    If I sense a pattern forming, I don’t just believe it—I check it. A quick note, a tally, or a log helps me distinguish story from signal.
    [06:55]
  • Mental Maturity Means Not Needing Every Dot to Connect
    Resilience doesn’t come from finding patterns everywhere. It comes from being okay when they don’t exist.
    [08:03]

Resources & Practices I Shared:

  • Pause Before Naming the Pattern
    When I catch myself saying, “this always happens,” I now ask: “Always—or just recently?”
  • Apply the Rule of Three
    I run new “patterns” through a simple test:
    • Is it repeating?
    • Is it relevant?
    • Does it stand up to reason?
  • Track Instead of Assuming
    I log simple observations—like sleep, mood, or patterns in a colleague’s behavior—to separate fact from feeling.

Thought Exercise I Left You With:

Think of a pattern you’ve recently believed in—maybe something about how people treat you, how projects always unfold, or how luck seems to work.
Now ask yourself:

  • What’s the actual evidence?
  • Where might I be filling in the blanks with story instead of observation?
  • What shifts when I stop assuming and just start watching?

What’s Coming Next:

In the next Seeing Sideways episode, I’ll dive into part two of this theme: the stories we tell ourselves, and how narrative biases shape our decisions, identities, and relationships.

If this episode gave you a fresh way to think about your thoughts, please pass it on to someone else. These mental habits aren’t flaws—they’re how our brains try to cope with complexity. But wit

Support the show

Sign up for the weekly IT'S AN INSIDE JOB NEWSLETTER

  • takes 5 seconds to fill out
  • receive a fresh update every Wednesday
  continue reading

Chapters

1. Seeing Sideways - Spotting Patterns vs. Chasing Ghosts (Apophenia): A Guide to Clear Thinking (00:00:00)

2. Introduction to Cognitive Biases (00:00:10)

3. Understanding Pattern Recognition (00:01:27)

4. The Cost of Apophenia (00:04:16)

5. Curiosity Over Certainty (00:06:08)

6. Clarity and Resilience (00:08:10)

7. Conclusion and Reflection (00:09:42)

266 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 516844389 series 3305380
Content provided by Jason Birkevold Liem. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jason Birkevold Liem or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Get in touch with us! We’d appreciate your feedback and comments.

“Clarity means letting insight be earned, not assumed.”

Have you ever convinced yourself that “this always happens”—only to realise it might just be a coincidence?

In this episode of Seeing Sideways, I explore how our brains connect the dots—even when there’s no real picture to see. We dig into pattern-seeking and apophenia, the bias that fuels superstition, flawed decisions, and false clarity—and I share tools to help you stay curious, grounded, and resilient in a chaotic world.

Key Takeaways and Tools:

  • What Pattern-Seeking & Apophenia Really Are
    My brain is built to find structure—even when none exists. From seeing faces in clouds to believing that “everything always goes wrong,” apophenia makes meaning out of random noise.
    [01:32]
  • The Evolutionary Purpose Behind It
    It made sense to spot a predator that wasn’t there. The cost of false positives was low. But in modern life, these mental shortcuts often mislead us more than protect us.
    [03:00]
  • The Hidden Costs
    Apophenia can drain my energy, warp my judgment, and feed everything from magical thinking to bad decision-making. I explore how this bias shows up at work and in relationships.
    [04:27]
  • The Contrarian Move: Curiosity Before Certainty
    I’ve learned to pause when something “clicks” as a pattern. Just because it feels meaningful doesn’t mean it is. Introducing doubt gives space for clarity.
    [06:09]
  • Apply the Rule of Three
    For a pattern to be worth trusting, I now look for three things: repetition, relevance, and reason.
    [06:13]
  • Track, Don’t Assume
    If I sense a pattern forming, I don’t just believe it—I check it. A quick note, a tally, or a log helps me distinguish story from signal.
    [06:55]
  • Mental Maturity Means Not Needing Every Dot to Connect
    Resilience doesn’t come from finding patterns everywhere. It comes from being okay when they don’t exist.
    [08:03]

Resources & Practices I Shared:

  • Pause Before Naming the Pattern
    When I catch myself saying, “this always happens,” I now ask: “Always—or just recently?”
  • Apply the Rule of Three
    I run new “patterns” through a simple test:
    • Is it repeating?
    • Is it relevant?
    • Does it stand up to reason?
  • Track Instead of Assuming
    I log simple observations—like sleep, mood, or patterns in a colleague’s behavior—to separate fact from feeling.

Thought Exercise I Left You With:

Think of a pattern you’ve recently believed in—maybe something about how people treat you, how projects always unfold, or how luck seems to work.
Now ask yourself:

  • What’s the actual evidence?
  • Where might I be filling in the blanks with story instead of observation?
  • What shifts when I stop assuming and just start watching?

What’s Coming Next:

In the next Seeing Sideways episode, I’ll dive into part two of this theme: the stories we tell ourselves, and how narrative biases shape our decisions, identities, and relationships.

If this episode gave you a fresh way to think about your thoughts, please pass it on to someone else. These mental habits aren’t flaws—they’re how our brains try to cope with complexity. But wit

Support the show

Sign up for the weekly IT'S AN INSIDE JOB NEWSLETTER

  • takes 5 seconds to fill out
  • receive a fresh update every Wednesday
  continue reading

Chapters

1. Seeing Sideways - Spotting Patterns vs. Chasing Ghosts (Apophenia): A Guide to Clear Thinking (00:00:00)

2. Introduction to Cognitive Biases (00:00:10)

3. Understanding Pattern Recognition (00:01:27)

4. The Cost of Apophenia (00:04:16)

5. Curiosity Over Certainty (00:06:08)

6. Clarity and Resilience (00:08:10)

7. Conclusion and Reflection (00:09:42)

266 episodes

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