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Regression to the Mean Isn’t as Boring as it Sounds

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Manage episode 453197407 series 2391787
Content provided by Rob Orman, MD, Rob Orman, and MD. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Rob Orman, MD, Rob Orman, and MD or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Why do our minds seek explanations for everyday patterns, even attributing a cause where none may exist? "Regression to the mean" offers a statistical lens on why extreme experiences naturally revert to the norm. In medicine, this concept reveals why critical observations and repeated assessments are essential to avoid overreactions to abnormal results.

In this episode, we explore the nuances of regression to the mean, breaking down its impact on medical decision-making, patient assessments, and even how we view high-stakes scenarios in healthcare. Finally, we delve into how understanding this principle can enhance clinical judgment and reduce unnecessary interventions.

💡 Check out our Free Resources specifically designed to address pain points in medical practice💡

Guest bio: Josh Russel, MD, is the editor-in-chief of the Journal of Urgent Care Medicine and is double board-certified in Palliative Care and Emergency Medicine. Apart from his clinical practice, he is a writer, educator, entrepreneur, and trivia enthusiast.

We Discuss:

  • Superstitions in the Emergency Department
  • Understanding Regression to the Mean
  • Is It a Good Idea to Chastise Fighter Pilots?
  • Blood Pressure Lives on a Bell Curve
  • The Importance of Control Groups
  • Pediatric Visits For Fever
  • Natural History of Disease Processes: Some Are Outliers
  • The Test of Time
  • Balancing Urgency with Thoughtful Testing Thresholds

Mentioned in this episode:

5 Free Tools To Make Medical Practice Easier

Scripts for your least favorite conversations. The quick and dirty guide to calling consults. A 10-minute "Driveway Debrief" to switch off from work. My favorite documentation templates. Step-by-step guide for delivering the news of death.

Free Resources Link

Never Lame. Never Spammy. Always Fresh.

If you’d like a few minutes of career-elevating curated kickassery delivered to your inbox, sign up for our newsletter.

Sign up for our Newsletter

Awake + Aware Bend May 5-7, 2025 | Our in person live event

Ready to reset, recharge, and level up? Awake + Aware is a game-changing 3-day workshop where you will learn how to stay cool when the pressure’s on and lock in the mindset you need to flourish. Space is limited. 🎓 P.S. Yes, this is a CME event!

Awake + Aware Bend 2025

  continue reading

205 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 453197407 series 2391787
Content provided by Rob Orman, MD, Rob Orman, and MD. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Rob Orman, MD, Rob Orman, and MD or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Why do our minds seek explanations for everyday patterns, even attributing a cause where none may exist? "Regression to the mean" offers a statistical lens on why extreme experiences naturally revert to the norm. In medicine, this concept reveals why critical observations and repeated assessments are essential to avoid overreactions to abnormal results.

In this episode, we explore the nuances of regression to the mean, breaking down its impact on medical decision-making, patient assessments, and even how we view high-stakes scenarios in healthcare. Finally, we delve into how understanding this principle can enhance clinical judgment and reduce unnecessary interventions.

💡 Check out our Free Resources specifically designed to address pain points in medical practice💡

Guest bio: Josh Russel, MD, is the editor-in-chief of the Journal of Urgent Care Medicine and is double board-certified in Palliative Care and Emergency Medicine. Apart from his clinical practice, he is a writer, educator, entrepreneur, and trivia enthusiast.

We Discuss:

  • Superstitions in the Emergency Department
  • Understanding Regression to the Mean
  • Is It a Good Idea to Chastise Fighter Pilots?
  • Blood Pressure Lives on a Bell Curve
  • The Importance of Control Groups
  • Pediatric Visits For Fever
  • Natural History of Disease Processes: Some Are Outliers
  • The Test of Time
  • Balancing Urgency with Thoughtful Testing Thresholds

Mentioned in this episode:

5 Free Tools To Make Medical Practice Easier

Scripts for your least favorite conversations. The quick and dirty guide to calling consults. A 10-minute "Driveway Debrief" to switch off from work. My favorite documentation templates. Step-by-step guide for delivering the news of death.

Free Resources Link

Never Lame. Never Spammy. Always Fresh.

If you’d like a few minutes of career-elevating curated kickassery delivered to your inbox, sign up for our newsletter.

Sign up for our Newsletter

Awake + Aware Bend May 5-7, 2025 | Our in person live event

Ready to reset, recharge, and level up? Awake + Aware is a game-changing 3-day workshop where you will learn how to stay cool when the pressure’s on and lock in the mindset you need to flourish. Space is limited. 🎓 P.S. Yes, this is a CME event!

Awake + Aware Bend 2025

  continue reading

205 episodes

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