From Gridiron to Portfolio: The Super Bowl Effect Explored
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Unmasking the Super Bowl Effect in Behavioral Finance | Bryan Foltice
Welcome to another episode of the Bryan Foltice Behavioral Finance Podcast! This week, coinciding with Super Bowl week, Dr. Bryan Foltice dives into the intriguing 'Super Bowl effect'—a theory that links Super Bowl outcomes with stock market performance. Originating from a 1978 New York Times article by Leonard Kopet, the theory suggests that an AFC team win signals a market decline, while an NFC team win predicts a bull run. Bryan scrutinizes this pattern recognition, its historical accuracy, and the cognitive biases that entice us to believe in such coincidences. He concludes by emphasizing the importance of disciplined, long-term investment strategies over superstitious financial decisions. Tune in for an enlightening discussion and don't forget to subscribe!
00:00 Introduction to the Podcast
00:42 The Super Bowl Effect Explained
02:00 Historical Analysis of the Super Bowl Effect
04:33 Behavioral Finance and Cognitive Biases
07:33 Correlation vs. Causation
10:00 Other Market Indicators and Theories
12:49 Final Thoughts and Advice
13:15 Closing Remarks
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67 episodes