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Naspers Stock Split | UK Yields at Worst Levels this Century
Manage episode 502551668 series 17433
π Key Themes This Week
π Naspers share split β AGM approves a 5-for-1 split to make shares more affordable for smaller investors.
π¬ Jackson Hole update β Jerome Powellβs last appearance as Fed Chair, shifting focus from inflation to jobs. Markets pricing in September & December rate cuts with high certainty.
πΈ Trump & the Fed β Trump fires Fed Governor Lisa Cook β and pushes to pack the Fed with rate-cut friendly members.
πΊπΈ Intel stake β Trump administration takes a 10% stake in Intel via the Chips Act, raising questions about βstate capitalism.β
π Dollar weakness β Dollar index slides, Rand strengthens to R17.44, risk-on sentiment in global markets.
π· UK debt crisis β 30-year gilt yields at levels last seen in 1998 (5.6%). Mounting debt costs threaten stability.
π« ADvTech*
Strong results: 5-year CAGR β Dividends +24%, Revenue +13%, EPS doubled.
Enrolments still growing vs. competitor Curro shrinking.
Expanding into tertiary education in Ghana π¬π.
Solid valuation: PE ~15, dividend yield ~3%.
π’ Grindrod
Decent numbers, disposing businesses to strengthen balance sheet.
Awarded 3rd-party rail access via Transnet π.
Cheap valuation: PE ~8, Price/Book ~1.
π’οΈ Sasol
Results stronger than expected: Free cash flow R12bn (up from R7bn).
Stock rallied past R120, eyeing R140.
Needs stronger chemical markets, higher oil & weaker Rand for tailwinds.
βοΈ Nvidia (results pending)
Market eagerly awaiting numbers. Results due Wednesday aftermarket.
πͺ Rheinmetall
German defence stock up +160% YTD on European defence demand.
Valuations stretched (PE 89 vs. mean 23). Possible overheated trade.
π US inflation & rate cuts β Markets expect two cuts in 2024, possibly November too. Powell less worried about inflation at 2.5β3%.
π¦ Tariffs & inflation β Spread over time, reducing immediate shock but sustaining price pressure.
π΅ Debt & inflation β Inflation helps deflate $30T US debt mountain faster.
π· UK bonds β Debt costs rising sharply, pushing the UK into deeper fiscal stress.
π S&P 500 at 23x earnings β Historically, this leads to flat 10-year returns (Β±2%).
π± Dollar trend β Weakening outlook continues, aligning with Trumpβs economic policy.
π©πͺ Rheinmetall boom β Defence spending pushes stock sky-high, but risks of overheating.
π ETF database update β Now includes active ETFs π justonelap.com/ETFdatabase.
π₯ Power Hour β Live session Tuesday 17:30 SA time, replay available later.
ποΈ Host: Simon Brown π Recorded: Tuesday 27 August 2024 π‘ Powered by Standard Bank & Shyft app
π Markets are on a risk-on rally π, but with high valuations, debt risks, and political interference at central banks, caution remains the watchword.
569 episodes
Manage episode 502551668 series 17433
π Key Themes This Week
π Naspers share split β AGM approves a 5-for-1 split to make shares more affordable for smaller investors.
π¬ Jackson Hole update β Jerome Powellβs last appearance as Fed Chair, shifting focus from inflation to jobs. Markets pricing in September & December rate cuts with high certainty.
πΈ Trump & the Fed β Trump fires Fed Governor Lisa Cook β and pushes to pack the Fed with rate-cut friendly members.
πΊπΈ Intel stake β Trump administration takes a 10% stake in Intel via the Chips Act, raising questions about βstate capitalism.β
π Dollar weakness β Dollar index slides, Rand strengthens to R17.44, risk-on sentiment in global markets.
π· UK debt crisis β 30-year gilt yields at levels last seen in 1998 (5.6%). Mounting debt costs threaten stability.
π« ADvTech*
Strong results: 5-year CAGR β Dividends +24%, Revenue +13%, EPS doubled.
Enrolments still growing vs. competitor Curro shrinking.
Expanding into tertiary education in Ghana π¬π.
Solid valuation: PE ~15, dividend yield ~3%.
π’ Grindrod
Decent numbers, disposing businesses to strengthen balance sheet.
Awarded 3rd-party rail access via Transnet π.
Cheap valuation: PE ~8, Price/Book ~1.
π’οΈ Sasol
Results stronger than expected: Free cash flow R12bn (up from R7bn).
Stock rallied past R120, eyeing R140.
Needs stronger chemical markets, higher oil & weaker Rand for tailwinds.
βοΈ Nvidia (results pending)
Market eagerly awaiting numbers. Results due Wednesday aftermarket.
πͺ Rheinmetall
German defence stock up +160% YTD on European defence demand.
Valuations stretched (PE 89 vs. mean 23). Possible overheated trade.
π US inflation & rate cuts β Markets expect two cuts in 2024, possibly November too. Powell less worried about inflation at 2.5β3%.
π¦ Tariffs & inflation β Spread over time, reducing immediate shock but sustaining price pressure.
π΅ Debt & inflation β Inflation helps deflate $30T US debt mountain faster.
π· UK bonds β Debt costs rising sharply, pushing the UK into deeper fiscal stress.
π S&P 500 at 23x earnings β Historically, this leads to flat 10-year returns (Β±2%).
π± Dollar trend β Weakening outlook continues, aligning with Trumpβs economic policy.
π©πͺ Rheinmetall boom β Defence spending pushes stock sky-high, but risks of overheating.
π ETF database update β Now includes active ETFs π justonelap.com/ETFdatabase.
π₯ Power Hour β Live session Tuesday 17:30 SA time, replay available later.
ποΈ Host: Simon Brown π Recorded: Tuesday 27 August 2024 π‘ Powered by Standard Bank & Shyft app
π Markets are on a risk-on rally π, but with high valuations, debt risks, and political interference at central banks, caution remains the watchword.
569 episodes
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