The show that helps you maximize your wealth by turning complex financial situations into actionable advice. On Your Money. Your Mission., we answer the questions you’ve been asking about -- financial planning, investing, retirement and everything in between. Whether you’re navigating the complexities of the market or looking for the best ways to save or spend your money, tune in to hear from experienced financial advisors with JFG. Walk away from each episode with savvy tips and financial t ...
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Content provided by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
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SI374: When the Data Goes Dark: Trend Following, Turbulence & Total Portfolios ft. Katy Kaminski
Manage episode 519525498 series 44605
Content provided by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
What happens when the data goes dark, yet markets barely flinch? In this episode, Niels and Katy unpack the month of October defined by missing economic releases, relentless equity strength and three extraordinary days of Liberation Day turbulence. They explore why price often tells the truest story, how total portfolio thinking could rewrite the role of trend, and why short term strategies faltered while precious metals surged. The conversation then shifts to the coming wave of alternatives in private wealth and the silent risk inside target date funds, asking how managed futures can reshape retirement outcomes when timing paths go wrong.
-----
50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to [email protected]
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Katy on LinkedIn.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Introduction and catching up from Boston
02:00 - Life without economic data and what markets really need
04:20 - Price as the only truth and the limits of official data
05:45 - CalPERS, total portfolio thinking and what it means for trend
08:20 - AI, data centers and the inflation story hiding in electricity
10:30 - Inflation regimes, unstable prices and why trend cares about change
12:40 - Year to date trend review across equities, metals, FX and bonds
15:10 - Why short term traders struggled in a headline driven year
20:00 - Picking “the best strategy” and why robustness matters more than Sharpe
24:10 - Parameters, speed of response and treating markets differently
26:20 - Liberation Day: three consecutive shock days and what CTAs learned
33:40 - Economic trend, price trend and the blurry line with global macro
39:00 - Crisis alpha, convexity and when fundamentals stop mattering
44:50 - The rise of alternatives and why “core” portfolios are changing
48:20 - How the industry can tap private wealth and model portfolios
52:00 - Trend in target retirement funds and the sequence of returns problem
56:40 - Looking ahead, volatility forecasting and next week’s guest
58:25 - Wrap up, disclosures and final reflections
Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
940 episodes
Share
Manage episode 519525498 series 44605
Content provided by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://player.fm/legal.
What happens when the data goes dark, yet markets barely flinch? In this episode, Niels and Katy unpack the month of October defined by missing economic releases, relentless equity strength and three extraordinary days of Liberation Day turbulence. They explore why price often tells the truest story, how total portfolio thinking could rewrite the role of trend, and why short term strategies faltered while precious metals surged. The conversation then shifts to the coming wave of alternatives in private wealth and the silent risk inside target date funds, asking how managed futures can reshape retirement outcomes when timing paths go wrong.
-----
50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to [email protected]
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Katy on LinkedIn.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Introduction and catching up from Boston
02:00 - Life without economic data and what markets really need
04:20 - Price as the only truth and the limits of official data
05:45 - CalPERS, total portfolio thinking and what it means for trend
08:20 - AI, data centers and the inflation story hiding in electricity
10:30 - Inflation regimes, unstable prices and why trend cares about change
12:40 - Year to date trend review across equities, metals, FX and bonds
15:10 - Why short term traders struggled in a headline driven year
20:00 - Picking “the best strategy” and why robustness matters more than Sharpe
24:10 - Parameters, speed of response and treating markets differently
26:20 - Liberation Day: three consecutive shock days and what CTAs learned
33:40 - Economic trend, price trend and the blurry line with global macro
39:00 - Crisis alpha, convexity and when fundamentals stop mattering
44:50 - The rise of alternatives and why “core” portfolios are changing
48:20 - How the industry can tap private wealth and model portfolios
52:00 - Trend in target retirement funds and the sequence of returns problem
56:40 - Looking ahead, volatility forecasting and next week’s guest
58:25 - Wrap up, disclosures and final reflections
Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
940 episodes
All episodes
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Similar to Top Traders Unplugged
The show that helps you maximize your wealth by turning complex financial situations into actionable advice. On Your Money. Your Mission., we answer the questions you’ve been asking about -- financial planning, investing, retirement and everything in between. Whether you’re navigating the complexities of the market or looking for the best ways to save or spend your money, tune in to hear from experienced financial advisors with JFG. Walk away from each episode with savvy tips and financial t ...
…
continue reading
Bitcoin pioneer Charlie Shrem peels back the layers on the lives and backgrounds of the world's most impactful innovators. Centering around intimate narratives, Shrem uncovers a detailed, previously unspoken story of the genesis and evolution of bitcoin, cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence, and the web3 movements. Join Shrem as he journeys through the uncharted territories of tech revolutions, revealing the human side of the stories that shaped the digital world we live in today.
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continue reading
1
Wholesaling Inc with Brent Daniels
Find distressed properties for pennies on the dollar and turn them for huge profits!
2k1k
Let’s face it, Real estate education has lost the script. Everybody “claims” to have the secret sauce. They get you to sign up, get you to bite on a “magic” formula, but there’s no real tools to get there. There’s so much talk, no practical steps. It’s not instructional, it’s hype. The ideas aren’t focused on your success, it’s focused on theirs. Well, it doesn’t have to be that way. If you’ve been searching for a way to escape the rat race and achieve true financial freedom wholesaling real ...
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continue reading
An archive of each full weekday episode of the award-winning program presented by Stephen Grootes.
…
continue reading
Capitalmind looks at stocks, bonds, funds and the macro to bring you their view on the Indian financial markets. We discuss all things related to investing at our focussed podcast that keeps it simple. For more, go to capitalmind.in and to invest with us, visit capitalmindwealth.com
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continue reading
Motley Fool Money is a daily podcast for stock investors. Weekday episodes offer a long-term perspective on business news with The Motley Fool's investment analysts. Weekend shows are a mix of investing classes and longer-form interviews.
…
continue reading
In each episode of "Exchanges," people from the firm share their insights on developments shaping industries, markets and the global economy.
…
continue reading
Where startup founders raise millions and listeners can invest. Host Josh Muccio takes listeners behind closed-doors and into the room where deals are made. Part of the Vox Media Podcast Network.
…
continue reading
Alessandro Bogliari, CEO and Co-Founder of The Influencer Marketing Factory, a global influencer marketing agency, talks with great guests about influencer marketing, social media, the creator economy, social commerce and much more.
…
continue reading
Best Business Podcast (Gold), British Podcast Awards 2023 How do you build a fully electric motorcycle with no compromises on performance? How can we truly experience what the virtual world feels like? What does it take to design the first commercially available flying car? And how do you build a lightsaber? These are some of the questions this podcast answers as we share the moments where digital transforms physical, and meet the brilliant minds behind some of the most innovative products a ...
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continue reading
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