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Trump and Xi, CPI and the Fed, oil and sanctions

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Manage episode 515399869 series 3410672
Content provided by David Wilder and Capital Economics. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by David Wilder and Capital Economics or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Out of the darkness of a shuttered US government comes a rare data release – and it’s a CPI report that’s given markets some relief as the week draws to a close. But does September’s inflation data really clear the way for Fed rate cuts in December as well as October, as investors now expect?

In this week’s episode of The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explains why the Fed is likely to stay cautious, previews key upcoming central bank meetings, and looks ahead to next week’s much-anticipated Donald Trump-Xi Jinping summit in South Korea.

Also on the show, the US Treasury’s new sanctions on Russia’s two biggest oil exporters have brought a key risk to our below-consensus oil price forecasts to the fore. Chief Climate and Commodities Economist David Oxley discusses how much this move could shake up the outlook – and whether Trump will actually follow through with full enforcement.

Analysis and events referenced in this episode:

Read: China ramping up use of export controls

Drop-In: Argentina’s mid-term elections – A referendum on Milei’s reforms
Drop-In: The Fed, ECB and Bank of England – Latest decisions and policy outlook

  continue reading

174 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 515399869 series 3410672
Content provided by David Wilder and Capital Economics. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by David Wilder and Capital Economics or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Out of the darkness of a shuttered US government comes a rare data release – and it’s a CPI report that’s given markets some relief as the week draws to a close. But does September’s inflation data really clear the way for Fed rate cuts in December as well as October, as investors now expect?

In this week’s episode of The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explains why the Fed is likely to stay cautious, previews key upcoming central bank meetings, and looks ahead to next week’s much-anticipated Donald Trump-Xi Jinping summit in South Korea.

Also on the show, the US Treasury’s new sanctions on Russia’s two biggest oil exporters have brought a key risk to our below-consensus oil price forecasts to the fore. Chief Climate and Commodities Economist David Oxley discusses how much this move could shake up the outlook – and whether Trump will actually follow through with full enforcement.

Analysis and events referenced in this episode:

Read: China ramping up use of export controls

Drop-In: Argentina’s mid-term elections – A referendum on Milei’s reforms
Drop-In: The Fed, ECB and Bank of England – Latest decisions and policy outlook

  continue reading

174 episodes

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