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The Neutral Interest Rate: A Moving Target
Manage episode 414753897 series 3304320
Content provided by Klaus Adam & Dirk Schumacher, Klaus Adam, and Dirk Schumacher. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Klaus Adam & Dirk Schumacher, Klaus Adam, and Dirk Schumacher or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
The neutral rate is relevant for understaning the stance of monetary policy and for the fiscal outlook, as it determines the financing conditions for government debt. We explain how the neutral rate is defined, discuss its economic determinants and provide estimates of how it has changed since the pre-pandemic period. Increased government debt supply appears to have excerted substantial upward pressure on the neutral rate.
We make reference to the following papers:
Thiago Ferreira and Samer Shousha titled “The supply of safe assets and global interest rates” , Journal of International Economics, 2023.
Atif Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi. titled “What explains the decline in r*? Rising income inequality versus demographic shifts.” Proceedings of the Jackson Hole Symposium, 2021.
100 episodes
Share
Manage episode 414753897 series 3304320
Content provided by Klaus Adam & Dirk Schumacher, Klaus Adam, and Dirk Schumacher. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Klaus Adam & Dirk Schumacher, Klaus Adam, and Dirk Schumacher or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
The neutral rate is relevant for understaning the stance of monetary policy and for the fiscal outlook, as it determines the financing conditions for government debt. We explain how the neutral rate is defined, discuss its economic determinants and provide estimates of how it has changed since the pre-pandemic period. Increased government debt supply appears to have excerted substantial upward pressure on the neutral rate.
We make reference to the following papers:
Thiago Ferreira and Samer Shousha titled “The supply of safe assets and global interest rates” , Journal of International Economics, 2023.
Atif Mian, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi. titled “What explains the decline in r*? Rising income inequality versus demographic shifts.” Proceedings of the Jackson Hole Symposium, 2021.
100 episodes
All episodes
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Similar to The Week That Was in Europe
Entrepreneurship empowers everyone
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continue reading
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continue reading
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continue reading
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…
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And we are The Non-Prophets!... airing on the first and third Sunday of every month, starting at 3:00 PM Central (01:30-03:00 UTC) on our Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/thenonprophetsaca. The Non-Prophets focuses on atheism and the separation of church and state. Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-non-prophets--3254964/support.
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continue reading
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continue reading
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continue reading
The latest business and finance news from around the world, on the BBC.
…
continue reading
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