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Options Trading Concepts Live - October 15, 2025 - tastyFX's Dollar Correlation Analysis Shows Market Regime in Flux

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Manage episode 513806596 series 68544
Content provided by tastylive. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by tastylive or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

In Wednesday's Options Trading Concepts Live, Glen provided a comprehensive U.S. dollar correlation analysis across multiple asset classes, revealing an undefined market regime with some surprising relationships. The analysis showed extreme correlations among dollar pairs, indicating U.S.-specific factors are driving price action despite the government shutdown. Euro-dollar and dollar-Swiss franc correlation reached 0.91, while dollar-CAD showed less correlation to other pairs at 0.6-0.7. Cross-asset correlations revealed classic relationships, with 10-year treasuries moving with dollar-yen, and Australian dollar showing exposure to gold, copper and S&P 500. Interestingly, crude oil and U.S. dollar currently show a positive correlation, though the hosts agreed this is likely coincidental rather than a tradable trend. The U.S. dollar/equities relationship remains unstable, flipping between positive and negative correlation throughout 2023, creating what Glen called "no-man's land" for traders seeking clear directional signals.

  continue reading

1645 episodes

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Manage episode 513806596 series 68544
Content provided by tastylive. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by tastylive or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

In Wednesday's Options Trading Concepts Live, Glen provided a comprehensive U.S. dollar correlation analysis across multiple asset classes, revealing an undefined market regime with some surprising relationships. The analysis showed extreme correlations among dollar pairs, indicating U.S.-specific factors are driving price action despite the government shutdown. Euro-dollar and dollar-Swiss franc correlation reached 0.91, while dollar-CAD showed less correlation to other pairs at 0.6-0.7. Cross-asset correlations revealed classic relationships, with 10-year treasuries moving with dollar-yen, and Australian dollar showing exposure to gold, copper and S&P 500. Interestingly, crude oil and U.S. dollar currently show a positive correlation, though the hosts agreed this is likely coincidental rather than a tradable trend. The U.S. dollar/equities relationship remains unstable, flipping between positive and negative correlation throughout 2023, creating what Glen called "no-man's land" for traders seeking clear directional signals.

  continue reading

1645 episodes

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