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Options Jive - October 20, 2025 - Weekly Market Summary -- Government Shutdown Becomes Second Longest as Gold Hits 94% IVR

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Manage episode 514721681 series 68544
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Hosts Nick and Tony welcomed researcher Kai to discuss a volatile week where major indices gained 2-3% (buying the dip from prior Friday's selloff) while VIX closed at 20.8 after touching nearly 30 intraday Friday. The conversation opened with banter about Nick's weather forecasting obsession and Kai's joke about it being a sign of aging. The government shutdown analysis revealed it will surpass the 1995 Clinton-era shutdown length by Tuesday, with CPI data potentially still releasing this Friday and the White House suggesting it "could end this week." Gold emerged as the standout with 94% IVR and people "posting gold trades everywhere" (typical market top signal per Nick), prompting Nick to sell micro gold futures Friday with successful scalps. The earnings season stats showed 100+ companies reporting with 55% losers versus 45% winners averaging -0.2% returns, setting up a busy week with Netflix, Tesla, IBM, and other major names. Kai emphasized this represents the "sweet spot" for volatility - not super low or super high but right in the middle where premium looks juicy.
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1634 episodes

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Manage episode 514721681 series 68544
Content provided by tastylive. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by tastylive or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
Hosts Nick and Tony welcomed researcher Kai to discuss a volatile week where major indices gained 2-3% (buying the dip from prior Friday's selloff) while VIX closed at 20.8 after touching nearly 30 intraday Friday. The conversation opened with banter about Nick's weather forecasting obsession and Kai's joke about it being a sign of aging. The government shutdown analysis revealed it will surpass the 1995 Clinton-era shutdown length by Tuesday, with CPI data potentially still releasing this Friday and the White House suggesting it "could end this week." Gold emerged as the standout with 94% IVR and people "posting gold trades everywhere" (typical market top signal per Nick), prompting Nick to sell micro gold futures Friday with successful scalps. The earnings season stats showed 100+ companies reporting with 55% losers versus 45% winners averaging -0.2% returns, setting up a busy week with Netflix, Tesla, IBM, and other major names. Kai emphasized this represents the "sweet spot" for volatility - not super low or super high but right in the middle where premium looks juicy.
  continue reading

1634 episodes

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