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Tesla Stock Analysis: 3 Major Problems Crushing TSLA + Fair Value $250 vs Current ~$294
Manage episode 494140482 series 2852122
Tesla shares are under serious pressure, and in this episode, I break down exactly why. As a chartered financial consultant, I've analyzed Tesla's fundamentals and identified three critical problems that every investor needs to understand.
What We Cover:
- Why the EV tax credit elimination is bigger than most realize
- Tesla's declining delivery numbers and market saturation signals
- Leadership distraction concerns and their impact on execution
- Complete SEC analysis: Stability, Earnings, and Competitiveness
- Robotaxi reality check - separating timeline hype from facts
- Bulls vs Bears perspectives on Tesla's future
- Clear recommendations for current holders and potential buyers
Key Insights: Current Price: ~$294 | Fair Value Estimate: $250 | Assessment: 20% Overvalued
Tesla's operating margins have compressed from 17% to 7.4%, deliveries are down 13% year-to-date, and the company faces significant regulatory headwinds. While Tesla remains financially strong with $37B in cash, the easy growth years appear to be behind them.
My Take: Tesla is still a good company, but it's no longer the growth stock it once was. Current shareholders should evaluate position sizing, while potential buyers should wait for a better entry point around $200-220.
Looking Ahead: Tesla reports earnings July 23rd - I'll be watching for updates on affordable vehicle timelines, realistic robotaxi commercialization plans, and strategies to offset the EV tax credit impact.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
37 episodes
Manage episode 494140482 series 2852122
Tesla shares are under serious pressure, and in this episode, I break down exactly why. As a chartered financial consultant, I've analyzed Tesla's fundamentals and identified three critical problems that every investor needs to understand.
What We Cover:
- Why the EV tax credit elimination is bigger than most realize
- Tesla's declining delivery numbers and market saturation signals
- Leadership distraction concerns and their impact on execution
- Complete SEC analysis: Stability, Earnings, and Competitiveness
- Robotaxi reality check - separating timeline hype from facts
- Bulls vs Bears perspectives on Tesla's future
- Clear recommendations for current holders and potential buyers
Key Insights: Current Price: ~$294 | Fair Value Estimate: $250 | Assessment: 20% Overvalued
Tesla's operating margins have compressed from 17% to 7.4%, deliveries are down 13% year-to-date, and the company faces significant regulatory headwinds. While Tesla remains financially strong with $37B in cash, the easy growth years appear to be behind them.
My Take: Tesla is still a good company, but it's no longer the growth stock it once was. Current shareholders should evaluate position sizing, while potential buyers should wait for a better entry point around $200-220.
Looking Ahead: Tesla reports earnings July 23rd - I'll be watching for updates on affordable vehicle timelines, realistic robotaxi commercialization plans, and strategies to offset the EV tax credit impact.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
37 episodes
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