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11-10-25 The Rocket Market - AI, Risk, and What Comes Next - Tom Thornton Interview

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Manage episode 518716290 series 1586737
Content provided by The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
Markets have rocketed higher for six straight months — but how long can it last? Hedgefund Telemetry founder, Tom Thornton joins Lance Roberts to unpack the forces driving this “Rocket of a Stock Market.” From AI euphoria and sector rotation to passive indexing risks and the Fed’s impact on valuations, we dig into what’s really happening under the surface. 0:18 - INTRO 2:50 - The Rocket of a Stock Market 5:37 - Market Volatility & Opportunity in AI I7:14 - Interning During the Crash of '87 8:21 - Forward Earnings Expectations 9:35 - The Broadening in the Market - Energy, Materials, Consumer Staples 11:42 - Sector Rotation is a Real Thing - What if AI comes under pressure? 13:26 - Market Cap Concentration Concerns 16:02 - The Y2K Panic Buying pulling forward consumption - Similar in AI? 17:50 - Tracking Investor Sentiment (Bullish Sentiment chart) 20:36 - Tom DeMark Indicators - S&P and NASDAQ 100 PE Multiples (Chart) 23:03 - When S&P is Within 5% of ATH... (chart) 24:30 - Most-shorted Baskets (chart) - showing what speculators are buying 27:30 - Mag 7 daily & Weekly (chart) 31:35 - What Technicals Tell Us about Managing Risk 33:18 - Valuations at Elevated Levels: Apple & Nvidia (chart) 36:01 - Multiples that make no sense - Palantir & Tesla (chart) 36:55 - Waymo vs Tesla 39:15 - This Level of Concentration is New (chart) 41:23 - US Households are "All In" and Leveraged (chart) 42:40 - Leveraged ETF Data 43:56 - Short Term Options trading is Gambling (chart) 45:43 - % of Stocks About the 20, 50, & 200-DMA (chart) 49:18 - 6-straight months of market upside: When do you run out of buyers? 50:30 - Expectations for EOY? Bubbles don't deflate; they pop. 52:17 - 2026 will be difficult to continue strong momentum without a decent correction 52:44 - Where's the risk? 56:18 - Levered Obesity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42moSAfvL10&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketAnalysis #AIBubble #InvestorSentiment #MarketVolatility #TomThornton
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2099 episodes

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Manage episode 518716290 series 1586737
Content provided by The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by The Real Investment Show/Full Show and Lance Roberts or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
Markets have rocketed higher for six straight months — but how long can it last? Hedgefund Telemetry founder, Tom Thornton joins Lance Roberts to unpack the forces driving this “Rocket of a Stock Market.” From AI euphoria and sector rotation to passive indexing risks and the Fed’s impact on valuations, we dig into what’s really happening under the surface. 0:18 - INTRO 2:50 - The Rocket of a Stock Market 5:37 - Market Volatility & Opportunity in AI I7:14 - Interning During the Crash of '87 8:21 - Forward Earnings Expectations 9:35 - The Broadening in the Market - Energy, Materials, Consumer Staples 11:42 - Sector Rotation is a Real Thing - What if AI comes under pressure? 13:26 - Market Cap Concentration Concerns 16:02 - The Y2K Panic Buying pulling forward consumption - Similar in AI? 17:50 - Tracking Investor Sentiment (Bullish Sentiment chart) 20:36 - Tom DeMark Indicators - S&P and NASDAQ 100 PE Multiples (Chart) 23:03 - When S&P is Within 5% of ATH... (chart) 24:30 - Most-shorted Baskets (chart) - showing what speculators are buying 27:30 - Mag 7 daily & Weekly (chart) 31:35 - What Technicals Tell Us about Managing Risk 33:18 - Valuations at Elevated Levels: Apple & Nvidia (chart) 36:01 - Multiples that make no sense - Palantir & Tesla (chart) 36:55 - Waymo vs Tesla 39:15 - This Level of Concentration is New (chart) 41:23 - US Households are "All In" and Leveraged (chart) 42:40 - Leveraged ETF Data 43:56 - Short Term Options trading is Gambling (chart) 45:43 - % of Stocks About the 20, 50, & 200-DMA (chart) 49:18 - 6-straight months of market upside: When do you run out of buyers? 50:30 - Expectations for EOY? Bubbles don't deflate; they pop. 52:17 - 2026 will be difficult to continue strong momentum without a decent correction 52:44 - Where's the risk? 56:18 - Levered Obesity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42moSAfvL10&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketAnalysis #AIBubble #InvestorSentiment #MarketVolatility #TomThornton
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