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#292 Chris Whalen: Gold Over $5,000 Next Year, Americans Still Uncomfortable Admitting Dollar Weakness, And Why Fed Will Monetize Debt Through Financial Repression
Manage episode 510737456 series 3510102
Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, explains why Americans remain uncomfortable with gold despite it hitting new highs - it implies dollar weakness after 150 years of reserve currency dominance. He reveals FDR seized the Federal Reserve's gold in 1933 with little compensation, while today US gold allocation sits under 1% of portfolios versus growing central bank accumulation. Whalen defends his call for earlier Fed cuts. He sees gold reaching $5,000+ by end of 2026 as US allocations shift from under 1% toward 2%, while warning the average person without assets continues getting screwed as the Fed will eventually monetize Treasury issuance through financial repression.
Sponsor:
Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia
Links:
Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen
Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/
The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/
Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673
Timestamps:
0:00 Welcome and introduction - Chris Whalen's first in-studio appearance
0:24 Julia's introduction highlighting Chris's credentials and analysis
1:16 Fed takeaway - Steve Miran only governor wanting 50bp cut
2:19 Housing emergency coming - Fed drove prices up, Trump faces constraint
2:31 Housing scenarios - mortgage rates retreating after quarter point
4:17 Monetary Metals ad read
5:34 Housing psychology - homeowners trying to sell at the top
6:53 Office space comparison - no longer premium asset class
7:38 Fed rate cut outlook - may not see more cuts for months
9:58 Bank balance sheet problems - mortgage securities underwater
10:54 Politics of inflation - housing affordability crisis
13:10 Viewer housing question response - Florida 1924 parallels
15:32 DC trip on GSEs - still no roadmap from Treasury
18:43 Fannie/Freddie trade - made 30% then got out
19:54 Taking profits
22:36 Watching the herd mentality
25:20 Dollar/deficit thesis - weaker dollar, Treasury pressure ahead
27:47 Fed restructuring vision - eliminate Board of Governors
31:09 Housing emergency declaration - resuming MBS purchases discussion
33:51 Mixed economy - wealthy vs bottom quartile struggling
34:34 Debt myths - Americans love inflation, debt is currency
36:18 Highest conviction trade - gold and strategic silver
293 episodes
Manage episode 510737456 series 3510102
Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, explains why Americans remain uncomfortable with gold despite it hitting new highs - it implies dollar weakness after 150 years of reserve currency dominance. He reveals FDR seized the Federal Reserve's gold in 1933 with little compensation, while today US gold allocation sits under 1% of portfolios versus growing central bank accumulation. Whalen defends his call for earlier Fed cuts. He sees gold reaching $5,000+ by end of 2026 as US allocations shift from under 1% toward 2%, while warning the average person without assets continues getting screwed as the Fed will eventually monetize Treasury issuance through financial repression.
Sponsor:
Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia
Links:
Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen
Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/
The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/
Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673
Timestamps:
0:00 Welcome and introduction - Chris Whalen's first in-studio appearance
0:24 Julia's introduction highlighting Chris's credentials and analysis
1:16 Fed takeaway - Steve Miran only governor wanting 50bp cut
2:19 Housing emergency coming - Fed drove prices up, Trump faces constraint
2:31 Housing scenarios - mortgage rates retreating after quarter point
4:17 Monetary Metals ad read
5:34 Housing psychology - homeowners trying to sell at the top
6:53 Office space comparison - no longer premium asset class
7:38 Fed rate cut outlook - may not see more cuts for months
9:58 Bank balance sheet problems - mortgage securities underwater
10:54 Politics of inflation - housing affordability crisis
13:10 Viewer housing question response - Florida 1924 parallels
15:32 DC trip on GSEs - still no roadmap from Treasury
18:43 Fannie/Freddie trade - made 30% then got out
19:54 Taking profits
22:36 Watching the herd mentality
25:20 Dollar/deficit thesis - weaker dollar, Treasury pressure ahead
27:47 Fed restructuring vision - eliminate Board of Governors
31:09 Housing emergency declaration - resuming MBS purchases discussion
33:51 Mixed economy - wealthy vs bottom quartile struggling
34:34 Debt myths - Americans love inflation, debt is currency
36:18 Highest conviction trade - gold and strategic silver
293 episodes
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