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Still Waiting for a Housing Crash? Here's the Reality Check

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Manage episode 480841671 series 2911349
Content provided by David Pelligrinelli. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by David Pelligrinelli or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Key Points:

  • Current Trends:
    • As of April 2022, home price growth accelerated, rising 19.8%, the highest since August 2021.
    • Despite rising interest rates, home prices continued to rise during the winter months of January and February 2022.
  • Mixed Opinions:
    • News outlets like CNBC suggested a slowdown might be coming, but just months before, they reported home price growth decelerating, which didn't happen.
  • The Relocation Trend:
    • Many buyers are looking to move to more affordable metro areas due to skyrocketing home prices and rising mortgage rates.
    • This trend mainly involves renters, not homeowners, who are now looking to purchase in more affordable locations.
  • Limited Home Inventory:
    • Fewer people are willing to sell their homes due to low-interest rates on existing mortgages, which makes it harder to find a new home.
    • Selling a home with a 2-3% mortgage rate and moving to a new house with a 6-7% mortgage rate is financially unappealing.
    • Homeowners are essentially holding onto a "lottery ticket" in the form of low mortgage rates.
  • Impact of Higher Interest Rates:
    • Higher interest rates are pushing homebuyers into a position where they may have to pay more for a home or be locked out due to limited inventory.
    • Historically, 5-6% mortgage rates were considered low, so current rates are still relatively manageable compared to past decades.
  • Renting vs. Buying:
    • Rent prices are rising sharply, leading many renters to reconsider buying homes to avoid paying higher rents in the future.
    • Buying now could save money in the long run by locking in a mortgage payment that may be more stable than rising rent prices.
  • Hidden Costs of Waiting:
    • Delaying a purchase could lead to higher prices, increased interest rates, and deferred maintenance issues in homes.
    • Deferred maintenance can lead to costly repairs that a new buyer would need to address.
  • Future Considerations:
    • While home prices may continue to rise, the decision to buy depends on individual circumstances.
    • Renting might become more expensive as home prices rise and renters face higher lease renewals.
  • Conclusion:
    • The housing market is unpredictable, and it's important to focus on facts rather than opinions from news outlets.
    • If you're thinking of buying, consider the current market trends and your personal situation. Home prices may keep rising, and waiting could mean higher prices and interest rates in the future.
  • Listener Engagement:
    • We’d love to hear your thoughts on the housing market! Share your experiences or opinions on how these factors are affecting you.
  continue reading

1857 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 480841671 series 2911349
Content provided by David Pelligrinelli. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by David Pelligrinelli or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Key Points:

  • Current Trends:
    • As of April 2022, home price growth accelerated, rising 19.8%, the highest since August 2021.
    • Despite rising interest rates, home prices continued to rise during the winter months of January and February 2022.
  • Mixed Opinions:
    • News outlets like CNBC suggested a slowdown might be coming, but just months before, they reported home price growth decelerating, which didn't happen.
  • The Relocation Trend:
    • Many buyers are looking to move to more affordable metro areas due to skyrocketing home prices and rising mortgage rates.
    • This trend mainly involves renters, not homeowners, who are now looking to purchase in more affordable locations.
  • Limited Home Inventory:
    • Fewer people are willing to sell their homes due to low-interest rates on existing mortgages, which makes it harder to find a new home.
    • Selling a home with a 2-3% mortgage rate and moving to a new house with a 6-7% mortgage rate is financially unappealing.
    • Homeowners are essentially holding onto a "lottery ticket" in the form of low mortgage rates.
  • Impact of Higher Interest Rates:
    • Higher interest rates are pushing homebuyers into a position where they may have to pay more for a home or be locked out due to limited inventory.
    • Historically, 5-6% mortgage rates were considered low, so current rates are still relatively manageable compared to past decades.
  • Renting vs. Buying:
    • Rent prices are rising sharply, leading many renters to reconsider buying homes to avoid paying higher rents in the future.
    • Buying now could save money in the long run by locking in a mortgage payment that may be more stable than rising rent prices.
  • Hidden Costs of Waiting:
    • Delaying a purchase could lead to higher prices, increased interest rates, and deferred maintenance issues in homes.
    • Deferred maintenance can lead to costly repairs that a new buyer would need to address.
  • Future Considerations:
    • While home prices may continue to rise, the decision to buy depends on individual circumstances.
    • Renting might become more expensive as home prices rise and renters face higher lease renewals.
  • Conclusion:
    • The housing market is unpredictable, and it's important to focus on facts rather than opinions from news outlets.
    • If you're thinking of buying, consider the current market trends and your personal situation. Home prices may keep rising, and waiting could mean higher prices and interest rates in the future.
  • Listener Engagement:
    • We’d love to hear your thoughts on the housing market! Share your experiences or opinions on how these factors are affecting you.
  continue reading

1857 episodes

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