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Election Forecasting, Prediction Markets, and Gamification, with Prof. Matthew Wall and Dr. Louis Bromfield

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Manage episode 514508381 series 1401914
Content provided by Michael Bossetta. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Michael Bossetta or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Professor Matthew Wall and Dr. Louis Bromfield, both at the Department of Politics, Philosophy, and International Relations at Swansea University, discuss election forecasting. We cover different types of political forecasting, such as polls and prediction models, and dive into prediction markets like Polymarket. We then discuss the concept of the 'wisdom of the crowd' and what attributes make a good forecaster, before turning to how betting market odds, forecasting platforms, and gamification can be used in research.

Resources:
Horse Race Politics Podcast on YouTube and Spotify
Horse Race Politics Platform
Professor Wall's study on the 2007 Irish Elections
Dr. Bromfield's Doctoral Thesis

  continue reading

187 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 514508381 series 1401914
Content provided by Michael Bossetta. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Michael Bossetta or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Professor Matthew Wall and Dr. Louis Bromfield, both at the Department of Politics, Philosophy, and International Relations at Swansea University, discuss election forecasting. We cover different types of political forecasting, such as polls and prediction models, and dive into prediction markets like Polymarket. We then discuss the concept of the 'wisdom of the crowd' and what attributes make a good forecaster, before turning to how betting market odds, forecasting platforms, and gamification can be used in research.

Resources:
Horse Race Politics Podcast on YouTube and Spotify
Horse Race Politics Platform
Professor Wall's study on the 2007 Irish Elections
Dr. Bromfield's Doctoral Thesis

  continue reading

187 episodes

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