In the debut episode of More Likely Than Not, hosts Kayleigh Baker, J.D. and Joe Vincent, M.L.S. dive into the Supreme Court’s decision to take up two pivotal cases: West Virginia v. B.P.J. and Hecox v. Little. These cases could reshape the future of Title IX as it relates to transgender athletes.

Kayleigh and Joe unpack how this moment might force the Court to finally address a long-avoided question: does “sex” under Title IX include gender identity? With lower courts divided and prior rulings like Bostock setting new precedent, the stakes are high for schools, compliance professionals, and civil rights advocates alike. If you’re in Title IX—or advising someone who is—this is a must-listen.

But this episode isn’t just legal theory. The hosts highlight how the ATIXA listserv continues to surface the most pressing and nuanced questions from the field. It offers a real-time look at what Title IX professionals are up against, and how they are adapting. In this first episode, our scenario includes a university caught between a Title IX hearing requirement and a court-issued stay-away order. Through that lens, Kayleigh and Joe explore practical solutions, the role of legal counsel, and how to avoid becoming the “mechanism” that causes legal conflict.

Whether you're wrestling with policy updates, preparing for courtroom fallout, or just trying to stay ahead, we’re more likely than not covering it in this week’s episode.

Relevant news:

Supreme Court will decide whether states can ban transgender girls from girls’ sports (Politico, July 3, 2025)

Why Roberts and Gorsuch may decide the Supreme Court’s blockbuster transgender sports case (CNN, July 5, 2025)

How is ‘certiorari’ pronounced? Even Supreme Court justices disagree