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Tariffs Have Changed 'Plumbing' of Global Finance: Axel Merk

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Manage episode 480937206 series 3612386
Content provided by Nathaniel E. Baker. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Nathaniel E. Baker or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Axel Merk of Merk Investments rejoins the podcast to discuss his view that Trump’s tariffs have fundamentally unbalanced the global financial order. This has created real risks, but also opportunities…

This podcast was recorded on Wednesday, April 30 and was made available to premium subscribers the following day. More information on premium subscriptions is available here.

Content Highlights
  • The ‘plumbing’ of the global financial system has been upended as a result of tariffs (1:35);

  • China will not dump all their US Treasury holdings overnight. But tariffs will impact future flows. A fragmentation away from US dollar-denominated assets is likely (6:50);

  • Are tariffs inflationary or deflationary? They’re a supply shock: stagflation is the result (10:42);

  • If global trade is impeded and ultimately curtailed, how does this not end badly for economic growth? It will require a mental change from the existing environment. Fortunately, history has ample examples of this transition… (16:19);

  • Europe and China may face trouble in this new world order. So will Turkey. “There will be more tension” (24:45);

  • The case for gold and gold miners (32:16);

  • Does the US enter recession this year? Economic numbers are going to be distorted, so it may not matter. But the spike in imports heading into tariffs will almost certainly create inventory build-up… (37:18).

More on the Guest
  continue reading

100 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 480937206 series 3612386
Content provided by Nathaniel E. Baker. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Nathaniel E. Baker or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Axel Merk of Merk Investments rejoins the podcast to discuss his view that Trump’s tariffs have fundamentally unbalanced the global financial order. This has created real risks, but also opportunities…

This podcast was recorded on Wednesday, April 30 and was made available to premium subscribers the following day. More information on premium subscriptions is available here.

Content Highlights
  • The ‘plumbing’ of the global financial system has been upended as a result of tariffs (1:35);

  • China will not dump all their US Treasury holdings overnight. But tariffs will impact future flows. A fragmentation away from US dollar-denominated assets is likely (6:50);

  • Are tariffs inflationary or deflationary? They’re a supply shock: stagflation is the result (10:42);

  • If global trade is impeded and ultimately curtailed, how does this not end badly for economic growth? It will require a mental change from the existing environment. Fortunately, history has ample examples of this transition… (16:19);

  • Europe and China may face trouble in this new world order. So will Turkey. “There will be more tension” (24:45);

  • The case for gold and gold miners (32:16);

  • Does the US enter recession this year? Economic numbers are going to be distorted, so it may not matter. But the spike in imports heading into tariffs will almost certainly create inventory build-up… (37:18).

More on the Guest
  continue reading

100 episodes

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