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Waiting For The Fat Pitch | “Recession Denier” Jonny Matthews on Real Slowdown In U.S. Economic Data

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Manage episode 499044232 series 3627237
Content provided by Jack Farley. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jack Farley or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

For 26% off to SuperMacro: https://billing.super-macro.com/b/14A5kDfMVeim3VM5ZW7bW06

For many Jonny Matthews, former PM at Brevan Howard and publisher of SuperMacro, has emphatically rejected the case for a recession in the U.S. Recent economic data is causing him to reevaluate his view. While he still calls himself a “recession denier,” Matthews now thinks a slowdown is already occurring in the U.S. that will *look* like stagflation in the fall. Whether it will actually be “real stagflation” is a different question. But Matthews has a bearish view on stocks and bonds, while acknowledging that putting on these trades are difficult and that he is waiting for the right time. Recorded on August 6, 2025.

About SuperMacro https://super-macro.com/who-we-are

Follow Jonny Matthews on Twitter https://x.com/super_macro

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96

Follow Monetary Matters on:

Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh

Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5

YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  continue reading

158 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 499044232 series 3627237
Content provided by Jack Farley. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jack Farley or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

For 26% off to SuperMacro: https://billing.super-macro.com/b/14A5kDfMVeim3VM5ZW7bW06

For many Jonny Matthews, former PM at Brevan Howard and publisher of SuperMacro, has emphatically rejected the case for a recession in the U.S. Recent economic data is causing him to reevaluate his view. While he still calls himself a “recession denier,” Matthews now thinks a slowdown is already occurring in the U.S. that will *look* like stagflation in the fall. Whether it will actually be “real stagflation” is a different question. But Matthews has a bearish view on stocks and bonds, while acknowledging that putting on these trades are difficult and that he is waiting for the right time. Recorded on August 6, 2025.

About SuperMacro https://super-macro.com/who-we-are

Follow Jonny Matthews on Twitter https://x.com/super_macro

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96

Follow Monetary Matters on:

Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh

Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5

YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

  continue reading

158 episodes

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