The director’s commentary track for Daring Fireball. Long digressions on Apple, technology, design, movies, and more.
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Content provided by LessWrong. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by LessWrong or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
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“You’re probably overestimating how well you understand Dunning-Kruger” by abstractapplic
Manage episode 509323829 series 3364760
Content provided by LessWrong. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by LessWrong or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
I
The popular conception of Dunning-Kruger is something along the lines of “some people are too dumb to know they’re dumb, and end up thinking they’re smarter than smart people”. This version is popularized in endless articles and videos, as well as in graphs like the one below.
Usually I'd credit the creator of this graph but it seems rude to do that when I'm ragging on them Except that's wrong.
II
The canonical Dunning-Kruger graph looks like this:
Notice that all the dots are in the right order: being bad at something doesn’t make you think you’re good at it, and at worst damages your ability to notice exactly how incompetent you are. The actual findings of professors Dunning and Kruger are more consistent with “people are biased to think they’re moderately above-average, and update away from that bias based on their competence or lack thereof, but they don’t [...]
---
Outline:
(00:12) I
(00:39) II
(01:32) III
(04:22) IV
---
First published:
September 29th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Di9muNKLA33swbHBa/you-re-probably-overestimating-how-well-you-understand
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
…
continue reading
The popular conception of Dunning-Kruger is something along the lines of “some people are too dumb to know they’re dumb, and end up thinking they’re smarter than smart people”. This version is popularized in endless articles and videos, as well as in graphs like the one below.
Usually I'd credit the creator of this graph but it seems rude to do that when I'm ragging on them Except that's wrong.
II
The canonical Dunning-Kruger graph looks like this:
Notice that all the dots are in the right order: being bad at something doesn’t make you think you’re good at it, and at worst damages your ability to notice exactly how incompetent you are. The actual findings of professors Dunning and Kruger are more consistent with “people are biased to think they’re moderately above-average, and update away from that bias based on their competence or lack thereof, but they don’t [...]
---
Outline:
(00:12) I
(00:39) II
(01:32) III
(04:22) IV
---
First published:
September 29th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Di9muNKLA33swbHBa/you-re-probably-overestimating-how-well-you-understand
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
621 episodes
Share
Manage episode 509323829 series 3364760
Content provided by LessWrong. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by LessWrong or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
I
The popular conception of Dunning-Kruger is something along the lines of “some people are too dumb to know they’re dumb, and end up thinking they’re smarter than smart people”. This version is popularized in endless articles and videos, as well as in graphs like the one below.
Usually I'd credit the creator of this graph but it seems rude to do that when I'm ragging on them Except that's wrong.
II
The canonical Dunning-Kruger graph looks like this:
Notice that all the dots are in the right order: being bad at something doesn’t make you think you’re good at it, and at worst damages your ability to notice exactly how incompetent you are. The actual findings of professors Dunning and Kruger are more consistent with “people are biased to think they’re moderately above-average, and update away from that bias based on their competence or lack thereof, but they don’t [...]
---
Outline:
(00:12) I
(00:39) II
(01:32) III
(04:22) IV
---
First published:
September 29th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Di9muNKLA33swbHBa/you-re-probably-overestimating-how-well-you-understand
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
…
continue reading
The popular conception of Dunning-Kruger is something along the lines of “some people are too dumb to know they’re dumb, and end up thinking they’re smarter than smart people”. This version is popularized in endless articles and videos, as well as in graphs like the one below.
Usually I'd credit the creator of this graph but it seems rude to do that when I'm ragging on them Except that's wrong.
II
The canonical Dunning-Kruger graph looks like this:
Notice that all the dots are in the right order: being bad at something doesn’t make you think you’re good at it, and at worst damages your ability to notice exactly how incompetent you are. The actual findings of professors Dunning and Kruger are more consistent with “people are biased to think they’re moderately above-average, and update away from that bias based on their competence or lack thereof, but they don’t [...]
---
Outline:
(00:12) I
(00:39) II
(01:32) III
(04:22) IV
---
First published:
September 29th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Di9muNKLA33swbHBa/you-re-probably-overestimating-how-well-you-understand
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
621 episodes
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Similar to LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
The director’s commentary track for Daring Fireball. Long digressions on Apple, technology, design, movies, and more.
…
continue reading
WSJ’s Bold Names brings you conversations with the leaders of the bold-named companies featured in the pages of The Wall Street Journal. Hosts Tim Higgins and Christopher Mims speak to CEOs and business leaders in interviews that challenge conventional wisdom and take you inside the decisions being made in the C-suite and beyond.
…
continue reading
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…
continue reading
We help founders make something people want.
…
continue reading
Developer Tea exists to help driven developers connect to their ultimate purpose and excel at their work so that they can positively impact the people they influence. With over 17 million downloads to date, Developer Tea is a short podcast hosted by Jonathan Cutrell, engineering leader with over 15 years of industry experience. We hope you'll take the topics from this podcast and continue the conversation, either online or in person with your peers. Email: [email protected]
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continue reading
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…
continue reading
Big tech is transforming every aspect of our world. But how, and at what cost? This season of Land of the Giants – The Disney Dilemma – focuses on Disney’s ability to weather the ups and downs of the business cycle and changing tastes and explores what has kept it successful for over 100 years. The entertainment giant has leveraged nostalgia and its intellectual property to build a beloved brand, but after an acquisition spree that included Marvel, Lucasfilm, and 20th Century Fox, can it sus ...
…
continue reading
Redefining AI is the 2024 New York Digital Award winning tech podcast! Discover a whole new take on Artificial Intelligence in joining host Lauren Hawker Zafer, a top voice in Artificial Intelligence on LinkedIn, for insightful chats that unravel the fascinating world of tech innovation, use case exploration and AI knowledge. Dive into candid discussions with accomplished industry experts and established academics. With each episode, you'll expand your grasp of cutting-edge technologies and ...
…
continue reading
Three nerds discussing tech, Apple, programming, and loosely related matters.
…
continue reading
The American healthcare system is one of the most innovative in the world. But it’s also riddled with complex challenges, such as access to affordable medications, inefficiency and administrative burdens, and communication barriers between providers. There’s clearly a better way—and at Surescripts, we have a unique sightline into what that may be. In this series, host Melanie Marcus, Chief Marketing Officer of Surescripts, sits down with today’s most inspiring and innovative leaders in healt ...
…
continue reading
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