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Content provided by Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani, Ben Chugg, and Vaden Masrani. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani, Ben Chugg, and Vaden Masrani or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
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#90 (Reaction) - Disbelieving AI 2027: Responding to "Why We're Not Ready For Superintelligence"

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Manage episode 500920912 series 3418237
Content provided by Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani, Ben Chugg, and Vaden Masrani. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani, Ben Chugg, and Vaden Masrani or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Always the uncool kids at the table, Ben and Vaden push back against the AGI hype domininating every second episode of every second podcast. We react to "We're not ready for superintelligence" by 80,000 Hours - a bleak portrayal of the pre and post AGI world. Can Ben keep Vaden's sass in check? Can the 80,000 hours team find enough cubes for AGI? Is Agent-5 listening to you RIGHT NOW?

Listener Note:

We strongly recommend watching the video for this one, available both on youtube and spotify:
- https://www.youtube.com/@incrementspod
- https://open.spotify.com/show/1gKKSP5HKT4Nk3i0y4UseB

We discuss

  • The incentives of superforecasters
  • Arguments by authority
  • Whether superintelligence is right around the corner
  • The difference between model size and data
  • Are we running out of high quality data?
  • Does training on synthetic data work?
  • The assumptions behind the AGI claims
  • The pitfalls of reasoning from trends

References

Socials

  • Follow us on Twitter at @IncrementsPod, @BennyChugg, @VadenMasrani
  • Come join our discord server! DM us on twitter or send us an email to get a supersecret link
  • Become a patreon subscriber here. Or give us one-time cash donations to help cover our lack of cash donations here.
  • Click dem like buttons on youtube

But how many cubes until we get to AGI though? Send a few of your cubes over to [email protected]

Episode header image from here.

Support Increments

  continue reading

93 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 500920912 series 3418237
Content provided by Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani, Ben Chugg, and Vaden Masrani. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Ben Chugg and Vaden Masrani, Ben Chugg, and Vaden Masrani or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Always the uncool kids at the table, Ben and Vaden push back against the AGI hype domininating every second episode of every second podcast. We react to "We're not ready for superintelligence" by 80,000 Hours - a bleak portrayal of the pre and post AGI world. Can Ben keep Vaden's sass in check? Can the 80,000 hours team find enough cubes for AGI? Is Agent-5 listening to you RIGHT NOW?

Listener Note:

We strongly recommend watching the video for this one, available both on youtube and spotify:
- https://www.youtube.com/@incrementspod
- https://open.spotify.com/show/1gKKSP5HKT4Nk3i0y4UseB

We discuss

  • The incentives of superforecasters
  • Arguments by authority
  • Whether superintelligence is right around the corner
  • The difference between model size and data
  • Are we running out of high quality data?
  • Does training on synthetic data work?
  • The assumptions behind the AGI claims
  • The pitfalls of reasoning from trends

References

Socials

  • Follow us on Twitter at @IncrementsPod, @BennyChugg, @VadenMasrani
  • Come join our discord server! DM us on twitter or send us an email to get a supersecret link
  • Become a patreon subscriber here. Or give us one-time cash donations to help cover our lack of cash donations here.
  • Click dem like buttons on youtube

But how many cubes until we get to AGI though? Send a few of your cubes over to [email protected]

Episode header image from here.

Support Increments

  continue reading

93 episodes

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