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Larry McDonald: The Mag 7 Crash is Coming, Here’s What to Buy
Manage episode 505315421 series 3637983
Stocks are soaring on AI hype but are investors missing the real risks? In this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, legendary Wall Street strategist Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report and author of the new book How to Listen When Markets Speak, explains why the next big rotation is already underway from overvalued tech stocks to overlooked hard assets.
Larry explains why gold, silver, copper, uranium, and even coal are crushing tech stocks like Nvidia and Meta, and why energy infrastructure is the overlooked key to the AI boom. He argues that the “Magnificent 7” may face significant drawdowns and explains why institutional investors are growing wary of the Mag 7 as capital expenditures skyrocket and return on invested capital becomes harder to justify.
In a wide-ranging discussion, Larry unpacks why inflation may prove stickier than markets expect, how monetary and fiscal policy are fueling a stagflation setup, and why the Fed’s easing could backfire, pushing even more capital into gold, silver, copper, uranium, and natural gas.
In the mailbag, Larry answers questions on copper demand in the robotics age, how to approach physical commodities vs equities, and why it’s time to start thinking seriously about junior miners. He also shares a contrarian take on Tesla and warns about growing debt risks, specifically in Europe.
Then, in his Pro Picks segment, Larry reveals three of his top trade ideas in this new market regime: shorting Nvidia through a leveraged ETF, going long natural gas via equities like Range Resources and Antero, and betting on coal as an unexpected winner of AI’s energy needs.
Whether you’re rethinking tech exposure, looking for real inflation hedges, or trying to understand how capital is rotating in a high-volatility world, this episode is packed with big-picture insight and tactical ideas you won’t want to miss.
The Bear Traps Report: https://www.thebeartrapsreport.com/
How to Listen When Markets Speak: https://www.amazon.ca/Listen-When-Markets-Speak-Opportunities/dp/0593727495
Timestamps
00:00 Welcome back & details for our swag giveaway
04:05 The Lehman story and Larry’s origin story
06:00 Larry’s new book and the migration of capital to hard assets
10:00 What about AI? Investing in commodities for the AI trade
14:30 Aren’t the commodities vulnerable?
16:30 But Microsoft & Nvidia are not Class of 2000 stocks
18:30 Are Larry’s clients ready to wean off the Mag 7?
21:30 Why Larry believes inflation will remain elevated
25:30 What kind of drawdown could investors be looking at?
29:00 The risk of Trump crushing the Fed’s credibility & stagflationary risk
33:30 When does the U.S. debt situation become an actionable accident
37:50 What is the struggling U.S. dollar telling us?
39:40 ITM Mailbag: Where is copper going in the next 1-3 years? (COPX)
44:00 Junior gold miners and Equinox Gold stock (EQX)
45:20 Foran Mining, uranium miners
46:20 Tesla stock (TSLA)
49:00 What’s the biggest risk in markets Larry sees right now?
52:35 Larry’s Pro Picks (short NVDA, long nat gas, long coal)
1:05:15 ETF Minute: CI Covered Call ETFs
1:09:45 Coming up: Adam Waterous
Sponsors
For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.
Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial. Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information
ETF Minute is brought to you by CI Global Asset Management. Find out more about the CI Covered Call ETFs here: https://funds.cifinancial.com/en/funds/ETFS/CIGoldGiantsCoveredCallETF.html?currencySelector=1&classId=455&redirect_type=class_id
Links
https://inthemoneypod.com/
https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod
https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740
https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod
https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod
DISCLAIMERS
The information provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.
This segment of “In the Money" with George Lagoudakis ” has been paid in part by CI Global Asset Management.
This podcast is provided as a general source of information and should not be considered personal, legal, accounting, tax or investment advice, or construed as an endorsement or recommendation of any entity or security discussed. Investors should seek the advice of professionals prior to implementing any changes to their investment.
Certain statements in this podcast are forward-looking that are predictive in nature, depend upon or refer to future events or conditions. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth. Although the forward-looking statements contained herein are based upon what CI Global Asset Management and the portfolio manager believe to be reasonable assumptions, neither CI Global Asset Management nor the portfolio manager can assure that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements.
Certain statements contained in this podcast are based in whole or in part on information provided by third parties and CI Global Asset Management has taken reasonable steps to ensure their accuracy. Market conditions may change which may impact the information contained in this podcast.
Certain names, words, titles, phrases, logos, icons, graphics, or designs in this document may constitute trade names, registered or unregistered trademarks or service marks of CI Investments Inc., its subsidiaries, or affiliates, used with permission. All other marks are the property of their respective owners and are used with permission.
Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with an investment in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). You will usually pay brokerage fees to your dealer if you purchase or sell units of an ETF on recognized Canadian exchanges. If the units are purchased or sold on these Canadian exchanges, investors may pay more than the current net asset value when buying units of the ETF and may receive less than the current net asset value when selling them. Please read the prospectus before investing. ...
68 episodes
Manage episode 505315421 series 3637983
Stocks are soaring on AI hype but are investors missing the real risks? In this episode of In the Money with Amber Kanwar, legendary Wall Street strategist Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report and author of the new book How to Listen When Markets Speak, explains why the next big rotation is already underway from overvalued tech stocks to overlooked hard assets.
Larry explains why gold, silver, copper, uranium, and even coal are crushing tech stocks like Nvidia and Meta, and why energy infrastructure is the overlooked key to the AI boom. He argues that the “Magnificent 7” may face significant drawdowns and explains why institutional investors are growing wary of the Mag 7 as capital expenditures skyrocket and return on invested capital becomes harder to justify.
In a wide-ranging discussion, Larry unpacks why inflation may prove stickier than markets expect, how monetary and fiscal policy are fueling a stagflation setup, and why the Fed’s easing could backfire, pushing even more capital into gold, silver, copper, uranium, and natural gas.
In the mailbag, Larry answers questions on copper demand in the robotics age, how to approach physical commodities vs equities, and why it’s time to start thinking seriously about junior miners. He also shares a contrarian take on Tesla and warns about growing debt risks, specifically in Europe.
Then, in his Pro Picks segment, Larry reveals three of his top trade ideas in this new market regime: shorting Nvidia through a leveraged ETF, going long natural gas via equities like Range Resources and Antero, and betting on coal as an unexpected winner of AI’s energy needs.
Whether you’re rethinking tech exposure, looking for real inflation hedges, or trying to understand how capital is rotating in a high-volatility world, this episode is packed with big-picture insight and tactical ideas you won’t want to miss.
The Bear Traps Report: https://www.thebeartrapsreport.com/
How to Listen When Markets Speak: https://www.amazon.ca/Listen-When-Markets-Speak-Opportunities/dp/0593727495
Timestamps
00:00 Welcome back & details for our swag giveaway
04:05 The Lehman story and Larry’s origin story
06:00 Larry’s new book and the migration of capital to hard assets
10:00 What about AI? Investing in commodities for the AI trade
14:30 Aren’t the commodities vulnerable?
16:30 But Microsoft & Nvidia are not Class of 2000 stocks
18:30 Are Larry’s clients ready to wean off the Mag 7?
21:30 Why Larry believes inflation will remain elevated
25:30 What kind of drawdown could investors be looking at?
29:00 The risk of Trump crushing the Fed’s credibility & stagflationary risk
33:30 When does the U.S. debt situation become an actionable accident
37:50 What is the struggling U.S. dollar telling us?
39:40 ITM Mailbag: Where is copper going in the next 1-3 years? (COPX)
44:00 Junior gold miners and Equinox Gold stock (EQX)
45:20 Foran Mining, uranium miners
46:20 Tesla stock (TSLA)
49:00 What’s the biggest risk in markets Larry sees right now?
52:35 Larry’s Pro Picks (short NVDA, long nat gas, long coal)
1:05:15 ETF Minute: CI Covered Call ETFs
1:09:45 Coming up: Adam Waterous
Sponsors
For over 25 years, Raymond James has been helping Canadians achieve their financial goals. Visit https://raymondjames.ca today to discover how you can live a life well planned.
Pro Picks is brought to you by ATB Financial. Visit https://ATB.com/inthemoney for more information
ETF Minute is brought to you by CI Global Asset Management. Find out more about the CI Covered Call ETFs here: https://funds.cifinancial.com/en/funds/ETFS/CIGoldGiantsCoveredCallETF.html?currencySelector=1&classId=455&redirect_type=class_id
Links
https://inthemoneypod.com/
https://instagram.com/inthemoneypod
https://facebook.com/profile.php?id=61569721774740
https://twitter.com/inthemoneypod
https://tiktok.com/@inthemoneypod
DISCLAIMERS
The information provided in this podcast is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or professional advice.The views expressed by the host and guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of any organization or company. The host and guests may maintain positions in any securities discussed on the podcast. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.
This segment of “In the Money" with George Lagoudakis ” has been paid in part by CI Global Asset Management.
This podcast is provided as a general source of information and should not be considered personal, legal, accounting, tax or investment advice, or construed as an endorsement or recommendation of any entity or security discussed. Investors should seek the advice of professionals prior to implementing any changes to their investment.
Certain statements in this podcast are forward-looking that are predictive in nature, depend upon or refer to future events or conditions. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth. Although the forward-looking statements contained herein are based upon what CI Global Asset Management and the portfolio manager believe to be reasonable assumptions, neither CI Global Asset Management nor the portfolio manager can assure that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements.
Certain statements contained in this podcast are based in whole or in part on information provided by third parties and CI Global Asset Management has taken reasonable steps to ensure their accuracy. Market conditions may change which may impact the information contained in this podcast.
Certain names, words, titles, phrases, logos, icons, graphics, or designs in this document may constitute trade names, registered or unregistered trademarks or service marks of CI Investments Inc., its subsidiaries, or affiliates, used with permission. All other marks are the property of their respective owners and are used with permission.
Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with an investment in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). You will usually pay brokerage fees to your dealer if you purchase or sell units of an ETF on recognized Canadian exchanges. If the units are purchased or sold on these Canadian exchanges, investors may pay more than the current net asset value when buying units of the ETF and may receive less than the current net asset value when selling them. Please read the prospectus before investing. ...
68 episodes
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