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Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials

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Manage episode 508086855 series 2975230
Content provided by Texas National Security Review. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Texas National Security Review or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seasoned national security professionals often misjudge uncertainty. This overview of his latest TNSR article, "The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials," covers how minor training can improve decision-making accuracy and highlights the importance of structured feedback and better calibration in national security judgments.

  continue reading

285 episodes

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iconShare
 
Manage episode 508086855 series 2975230
Content provided by Texas National Security Review. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Texas National Security Review or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seasoned national security professionals often misjudge uncertainty. This overview of his latest TNSR article, "The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials," covers how minor training can improve decision-making accuracy and highlights the importance of structured feedback and better calibration in national security judgments.

  continue reading

285 episodes

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