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Investing or Gambling? Where Do You Draw the Line?

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Manage episode 508565265 series 3641834
Content provided by Greenspring Advisors. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Greenspring Advisors or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Are you investing or are you gambling? In episode 17 of Greenstream, we unpack evidence from casinos, sportsbooks, and academic finance to show how the odds work against gamblers but for investors. You’ll learn about:

  • Why time is an investor’s ally but gambler’s enemy
  • How the “favorite–longshot bias” from horse racing shows up in lottery stocks and IPOs
  • Four practical ways to help stack the odds in your favor and invest like the House

Subscribe now so you don’t miss what’s coming next: an inside look at the importance of Boards of Directors for organizations of all sizes and how to find opportunities to join one.

Sources:

1 Thaler, Richard H., and William T. Ziemba. 1988. "Anomalies: Parimutuel Betting Markets: Racetracks and Lotteries." Journal of Economic Perspectives: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.2.2.161

2 Sauer, Raymond. (1998). The Economics of Wagering Markets. Journal of Economic Literature. 36. 2021-2064. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4732178_The_Economics_of_Wagering_Markets

3 https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20160721-the-buzz-that-keeps-people-gambling

4 https://responsiblegambling.org/for-the-public/about-gambling/the-science-behind-gambling/

5 Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101

6 Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance, The Cross-Section of Speculator Skill: Evidence from Day Trading (December 31, 2012). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=529063

7 Ritter, Jay R., The Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings (1991). University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign's Academy for Entrepreneurial Leadership Historical Research Reference in Entrepreneurship, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1505889

8 https://site.warrington.ufl.edu/ritter/ipo-data/

9 Asness, Cliff S. and Frazzini, Andrea and Israel, Ronen and Moskowitz, Tobias J. and Moskowitz, Tobias J. and Pedersen, Lasse Heje, Size Matters, If You Control Your Junk (January 22, 2015). Fama-Miller Working Paper: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2553889

10 Rizova, Savina and Saito, Namiko, Investment and Expected Stock Returns (July 8, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3646575

11 American Dream: Is Your House Your Greatest Investment? | Greenstream #8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-_Eg-hHaPA&t=2s

12 Real Estate: Expected Returns and Expected Headaches | Greenstream #9 https://youtu.be/Hhscc3TLEEY?si=VrRQwYSzFTAGMVTa

13 Bessembinder, Hendrik (Hank), Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills? (May 28, 2018). https://ssrn.com/abstract=2900447

Greenspring Advisors is a registered investment adviser with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. The social media platforms associated with this name are solely for informational purposes and do not offer advisory services or sales of securities. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Comments by viewers and/or recognitions are no guarantee of future investment outcomes and do not ensure that a viewer will experience a higher level of performance or results. Public comments posted on this site are not selected, amended, deleted, or sorted in any way. If applicable, certain editing of personal identifiable information and misinformation may be deleted. Content may be dated. Links to third-party sites, or information is from a reasonably reliable source. Information presented on this program is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. Discussions and answers to questions do not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice, but are limited to the dissemination of general information. A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the options presented.

  continue reading

17 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 508565265 series 3641834
Content provided by Greenspring Advisors. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Greenspring Advisors or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Are you investing or are you gambling? In episode 17 of Greenstream, we unpack evidence from casinos, sportsbooks, and academic finance to show how the odds work against gamblers but for investors. You’ll learn about:

  • Why time is an investor’s ally but gambler’s enemy
  • How the “favorite–longshot bias” from horse racing shows up in lottery stocks and IPOs
  • Four practical ways to help stack the odds in your favor and invest like the House

Subscribe now so you don’t miss what’s coming next: an inside look at the importance of Boards of Directors for organizations of all sizes and how to find opportunities to join one.

Sources:

1 Thaler, Richard H., and William T. Ziemba. 1988. "Anomalies: Parimutuel Betting Markets: Racetracks and Lotteries." Journal of Economic Perspectives: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.2.2.161

2 Sauer, Raymond. (1998). The Economics of Wagering Markets. Journal of Economic Literature. 36. 2021-2064. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/4732178_The_Economics_of_Wagering_Markets

3 https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20160721-the-buzz-that-keeps-people-gambling

4 https://responsiblegambling.org/for-the-public/about-gambling/the-science-behind-gambling/

5 Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101

6 Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance, The Cross-Section of Speculator Skill: Evidence from Day Trading (December 31, 2012). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=529063

7 Ritter, Jay R., The Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings (1991). University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign's Academy for Entrepreneurial Leadership Historical Research Reference in Entrepreneurship, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1505889

8 https://site.warrington.ufl.edu/ritter/ipo-data/

9 Asness, Cliff S. and Frazzini, Andrea and Israel, Ronen and Moskowitz, Tobias J. and Moskowitz, Tobias J. and Pedersen, Lasse Heje, Size Matters, If You Control Your Junk (January 22, 2015). Fama-Miller Working Paper: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2553889

10 Rizova, Savina and Saito, Namiko, Investment and Expected Stock Returns (July 8, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3646575

11 American Dream: Is Your House Your Greatest Investment? | Greenstream #8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z-_Eg-hHaPA&t=2s

12 Real Estate: Expected Returns and Expected Headaches | Greenstream #9 https://youtu.be/Hhscc3TLEEY?si=VrRQwYSzFTAGMVTa

13 Bessembinder, Hendrik (Hank), Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills? (May 28, 2018). https://ssrn.com/abstract=2900447

Greenspring Advisors is a registered investment adviser with the SEC and only transacts business in states where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. The social media platforms associated with this name are solely for informational purposes and do not offer advisory services or sales of securities. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. Comments by viewers and/or recognitions are no guarantee of future investment outcomes and do not ensure that a viewer will experience a higher level of performance or results. Public comments posted on this site are not selected, amended, deleted, or sorted in any way. If applicable, certain editing of personal identifiable information and misinformation may be deleted. Content may be dated. Links to third-party sites, or information is from a reasonably reliable source. Information presented on this program is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. Discussions and answers to questions do not involve the rendering of personalized investment advice, but are limited to the dissemination of general information. A professional advisor should be consulted before implementing any of the options presented.

  continue reading

17 episodes

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