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Trump Picks a Fight with ANOTHER Big Ag Importer

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Manage episode 514897968 series 2864038
Content provided by Joe Vaclavik. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Joe Vaclavik or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com
Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube

Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

🇺🇸🌎 U.S.–Colombia Tensions Escalate
President Trump announced new aid cuts and potential tariffs against Colombia, accusing President Gustavo Petro of failing to curb drug production. Colombia — a longtime U.S. ally — received $230 million in aid last year, down from more than $700 million in earlier years. The country pulled its ambassador from D.C. but has not announced any economic retaliation. Since Colombia accounted for 11% of U.S. corn exports (≈2% of total demand), these tensions could carry real ag-trade implications. 🌽
🇨🇳🚫 China Stops Buying U.S. Soybeans
For the first time since 2018, China imported zero U.S. soybeans in September. A year ago, the figure was 1.7 mmt. Meanwhile, Brazil’s shipments to China jumped 30%, and Argentina’s surged 92%. Total Chinese soybean imports hit 12.9 mmt — the second-highest monthly total on record. Without a trade deal, China may face a supply gap early next year before Brazil’s new-crop harvest. 🌱
📦 Weekly Export Inspections
USDA reported:
• Soybeans – 1.5 mmt (+45% vs week prior)
• Corn – 1.3 mmt (+9%)
• Wheat – 480,614 mt (+7%)
Top soybean destinations: Mexico, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Germany.
🇧🇷🌦️ Brazil Planting Progress
AgRural says 24% of Brazil’s soybean crop is planted (up from 14% last week and 18% last year). First-crop corn planting is 51% complete. Conab projects soybean output at 177.6 mmt (+3.6% YoY) and corn at 138.6 mmt (-1.8% YoY).
🥩 Argentina Beef Imports?
Trump says he’s considering increased Argentine beef imports to ease U.S. prices and support Argentina’s economy. But Argentina supplies only 2% of U.S. beef imports — even if the U.S. bought its entire export capacity (770,000 mt), price effects would be minimal. Foot-and-mouth disease risks make this a controversial proposal. 🐄

  continue reading

Chapters

1. US/Colombia Tensions (00:00:00)

2. No US Soybeans to China (00:02:27)

3. Stronger Soybean Shipments (00:03:50)

4. Brazil Dryness? (00:06:35)

5. Trump and Argentine Beef (00:08:04)

1562 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 514897968 series 2864038
Content provided by Joe Vaclavik. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Joe Vaclavik or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com
Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube

Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

🇺🇸🌎 U.S.–Colombia Tensions Escalate
President Trump announced new aid cuts and potential tariffs against Colombia, accusing President Gustavo Petro of failing to curb drug production. Colombia — a longtime U.S. ally — received $230 million in aid last year, down from more than $700 million in earlier years. The country pulled its ambassador from D.C. but has not announced any economic retaliation. Since Colombia accounted for 11% of U.S. corn exports (≈2% of total demand), these tensions could carry real ag-trade implications. 🌽
🇨🇳🚫 China Stops Buying U.S. Soybeans
For the first time since 2018, China imported zero U.S. soybeans in September. A year ago, the figure was 1.7 mmt. Meanwhile, Brazil’s shipments to China jumped 30%, and Argentina’s surged 92%. Total Chinese soybean imports hit 12.9 mmt — the second-highest monthly total on record. Without a trade deal, China may face a supply gap early next year before Brazil’s new-crop harvest. 🌱
📦 Weekly Export Inspections
USDA reported:
• Soybeans – 1.5 mmt (+45% vs week prior)
• Corn – 1.3 mmt (+9%)
• Wheat – 480,614 mt (+7%)
Top soybean destinations: Mexico, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Germany.
🇧🇷🌦️ Brazil Planting Progress
AgRural says 24% of Brazil’s soybean crop is planted (up from 14% last week and 18% last year). First-crop corn planting is 51% complete. Conab projects soybean output at 177.6 mmt (+3.6% YoY) and corn at 138.6 mmt (-1.8% YoY).
🥩 Argentina Beef Imports?
Trump says he’s considering increased Argentine beef imports to ease U.S. prices and support Argentina’s economy. But Argentina supplies only 2% of U.S. beef imports — even if the U.S. bought its entire export capacity (770,000 mt), price effects would be minimal. Foot-and-mouth disease risks make this a controversial proposal. 🐄

  continue reading

Chapters

1. US/Colombia Tensions (00:00:00)

2. No US Soybeans to China (00:02:27)

3. Stronger Soybean Shipments (00:03:50)

4. Brazil Dryness? (00:06:35)

5. Trump and Argentine Beef (00:08:04)

1562 episodes

All episodes

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