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The Fed Is Fueling A New Inflation Wave | Danny Dayan

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Manage episode 497335568 series 3300108
Content provided by Blockworks. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Blockworks or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

In this episode, Danny Dayan breaks down his framework for analyzing financial conditions and their real-time impact on growth and inflation. He explains why traditional rate transmission mechanisms are breaking down, how immigration and tariffs are distorting the labor market and inflation, and why the Fed may be behind the curve. Danny also lays out his case for a structurally weaker dollar, warns about a “doom loop” dynamic, and shares how he’s positioning his portfolio through it all. Enjoy!

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Follow Danny: https://x.com/DannyDayan5

Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

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Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for $100 OFF

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london

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This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.

Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix

Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:08) Macro Overview

(06:18) Digging Into the Data

(11:03) Financial Conditions Framework

(12:11) VanEck Ad

(12:56) Financial Conditions Framework

(28:47) VanEck Ad

(29:26) Right Way to Think About Fed Funds

(38:56) Outlook on the Dollar

(46:40) What Does this Mean for Equities?

(50:44) Inflation & Growth Impulse Scenarios

(54:01) Final Thoughts

__

Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

  continue reading

546 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 497335568 series 3300108
Content provided by Blockworks. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Blockworks or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

In this episode, Danny Dayan breaks down his framework for analyzing financial conditions and their real-time impact on growth and inflation. He explains why traditional rate transmission mechanisms are breaking down, how immigration and tariffs are distorting the labor market and inflation, and why the Fed may be behind the curve. Danny also lays out his case for a structurally weaker dollar, warns about a “doom loop” dynamic, and shares how he’s positioning his portfolio through it all. Enjoy!

__

Follow Danny: https://x.com/DannyDayan5

Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

__

Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for $100 OFF

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london

__

This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.

Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix

Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:08) Macro Overview

(06:18) Digging Into the Data

(11:03) Financial Conditions Framework

(12:11) VanEck Ad

(12:56) Financial Conditions Framework

(28:47) VanEck Ad

(29:26) Right Way to Think About Fed Funds

(38:56) Outlook on the Dollar

(46:40) What Does this Mean for Equities?

(50:44) Inflation & Growth Impulse Scenarios

(54:01) Final Thoughts

__

Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

  continue reading

546 episodes

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