Markets, Tech, And The Week Ahead
Manage episode 517483160 series 2868403
October 27, 2025 | Season 7 | Episode 40
A record-chasing market collides with the busiest macro week of the quarter, and we break it all down with a clear playbook for investors. We start with the incentives you don’t see: October fiscal year-ends and bonus locking that can drive sharp, end-of-month positioning. Then we weigh a likely Fed cut, what Powell’s guidance implies for the path of rates, and how a softer inflation print is tilting sentiment across stocks, gold, and credit.
To make better choices now, we rewind 100 years. The data is striking: technology slashed time spent on chores from dozens of hours a week to a fraction, reassigning that time to work, leisure, and child development. The lesson for AI is practical, not hype—breakthrough tools shift our attention from maintenance to leverage. We extend that thinking to health with surprising research on stair climbing for seniors: small bursts, big payoffs. The same principle powers good investing habits—systematic, repeatable moves that compound.
From there, we zoom in on what’s moving tape. Earnings breadth improved beyond the megacaps, with blue chips posting solid results and consensus EPS tracking near 9% growth. Semis bounce on tariff thaw talk, gold softens on risk appetite, and oil reacts to sanctions headlines. We take a sober look at valuations around 22x forward and what it means for risk management into Big Tech results from Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, Amazon, and Apple.
Most investors still overlook the big story: international markets leading the scoreboard. Korea, Vietnam, Greece, and others have outpaced U.S. indices this year, often with correlations below one. We show how adding global exposure can both raise expected returns and smooth volatility. We also spotlight a few ideas: Progressive’s data-driven edge and special dividends in auto insurance, Expand Energy’s LNG-adjacent scale and merger synergies in natural gas, and Pimco’s multi-sector bond ETF as a flexible tool for carry and credit dislocations.
If you’re recalibrating before year-end, this conversation helps you tune the mix: align risk to goals, diversify beyond the U.S., and convert time saved by technology into better portfolio decisions. Enjoy the episode, and if it helps clarify your next move, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review so others can find us.
** For informational and educational purposes only, not intended as investment advice. Views and opinions are subject to change without notice.
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Chapters
1. Year-End Positioning And Bonus Dynamics (00:00:00)
2. Macro Calendar And Fed Outlook (00:00:48)
3. Think Globally, Diversify Beyond U.S. (00:01:56)
4. A Century Of Tech And Time Use (00:02:56)
5. Family, Chores, And Productivity Shifts (00:07:40)
6. Seniors, Stairs, And Health Research (00:11:15)
7. Markets Rally, Earnings, And Fed Cuts (00:11:30)
8. Trade Tensions, Asia Trip, And Commodities (00:14:40)
9. Earnings Highlights And Valuation Check (00:19:46)
10. Policy Rumors And Global Market Moves (00:22:28)
11. Big Tech Earnings And Fed Path (00:27:36)
12. International Returns And Portfolio Construction (00:31:23)
245 episodes