Metals Exploration (LSE:MTL) – Nicaragua Build On Track, Dupax & Abra Targets Add Long-Term Upside

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5d ago 27:41

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Interview with CEO Darren Bowden

Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/metals-exploration-lsemtl-self-funded-nicaragua-gold-mine-targets-140k-oz-start-in-q4-2026-7323

Recording date: 30th September 2025

Metals Exploration presents a rare combination of near-term production growth and genuine exploration upside that makes it stand out in today's gold sector. With the Nicaragua project tracking ahead of schedule toward November 2026 first gold and the Philippines operation generating $110-120 million in annual cash flow, the company is executing a self-funded growth strategy that eliminates dilution risk while maintaining aggressive exploration programs.

The Nicaragua build represents a transformational step-change for the company. All major equipment has been purchased, earthworks are complete, and the $160 million budget remains intact. More importantly, Nicaragua will produce 50% more ounces than the Philippines operation at roughly the same cost structure, bringing all-in sustaining costs down to $900-1000 per ounce. In an environment where many producers cite $1,400 as the new normal, this sub-$1,000 cost structure translates to 60%+ operating margins at current gold prices a genuine competitive advantage.
What separates Metals Exploration from typical development stories is management's proven track record. Over six years, the Philippines operation has maintained just 2% annual cost growth versus industry averages of 10-15%. This isn't theoretical cost control it's demonstrated operational excellence that provides confidence in Nicaragua's projected economics.

Beyond production growth, the exploration portfolio offers asymmetric upside. Dupax drilling begins immediately, targeting VMS mineralization that could feed existing permitted infrastructure. But the real company-maker potential lies at Abra, where copper-molybdenum and copper-gold porphyry targets sit in the Cordillera belt home to the Philippines' largest copper-gold deposits including the 40-million-ounce Far Southeast system. CEO Darren Bowden characterizes Nicaragua and Dupax as "forerunners to give us the cash" to develop Abra, the company's "white whale."

For investors seeking operational excellence combined with tier-one discovery potential, Metals Exploration offers a compelling risk-reward profile. The strategy is elegant: proven cash flow funds patient exploration capital toward potentially transformational discoveries, all without equity dilution. That's increasingly rare in today's gold sector.

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