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PLA Purges and How Xi Rules with Jon Czin

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Manage episode 514478782 series 2440828
Content provided by Jordan Schneider. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jordan Schneider or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Jon Czin spent years as a top China analyst at the CIA, served as China Director on Biden’s National Security Council, and now works at the Brookings Institution. We discuss what Xi’s fourth-term means for China’s top leadership and military, Taiwan, and the US. We cover:

  • How Xi’s mafioso-style “decapitation strategy” has kept the PLA in line and why he’s purged more generals than Mao.

  • Cognitive decline and how end-of-life thinking might be shaping Xi’s succession plans and Taiwan strategy.

  • Tariffs, rare earths, and China’s appetite for pain vs. America’s.

  • Beijing’s parochialism and its limits in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict.

  • What intelligence work on China actually looks like and whether or not Xi’s era is duller than previous generations.

Plus: who might succeed Xi, comparing the Politburo Standing Committee to a frat house, and why chips and TSMC matter much less in Xi’s Taiwan calculus than most think.

Outtro Music:

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  continue reading

459 episodes

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PLA Purges and How Xi Rules with Jon Czin

ChinaTalk

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Manage episode 514478782 series 2440828
Content provided by Jordan Schneider. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Jordan Schneider or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Jon Czin spent years as a top China analyst at the CIA, served as China Director on Biden’s National Security Council, and now works at the Brookings Institution. We discuss what Xi’s fourth-term means for China’s top leadership and military, Taiwan, and the US. We cover:

  • How Xi’s mafioso-style “decapitation strategy” has kept the PLA in line and why he’s purged more generals than Mao.

  • Cognitive decline and how end-of-life thinking might be shaping Xi’s succession plans and Taiwan strategy.

  • Tariffs, rare earths, and China’s appetite for pain vs. America’s.

  • Beijing’s parochialism and its limits in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict.

  • What intelligence work on China actually looks like and whether or not Xi’s era is duller than previous generations.

Plus: who might succeed Xi, comparing the Politburo Standing Committee to a frat house, and why chips and TSMC matter much less in Xi’s Taiwan calculus than most think.

Outtro Music:

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

  continue reading

459 episodes

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