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Create Your Causal Inference Roadmap. Causal Inference, TMLE & Sensitivity | Mark van der Laan S2E6 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com

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Manage episode 507902324 series 3526805
Content provided by Alex Molak. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Alex Molak or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

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Create Your Causal Inference Roadmap. Causal Inference, TMLE & Sensitivity

If you're into causal inference and machine learning you probably heard about double machine learning (DML).
DML is one of the most popular frameworks leveraging machine learning algorithms for causal inference, while offering good statistical properties.
Yet...
There's another framework that also leverages machine learning for causal inference that was created years earlier.
Welcome to the world of targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE).
Our today's guest, Prof. Mark van der Laan (UC Berkeley) is the godfather of TMLE.
In the episode, we discuss:
- Similarities and differences between DML and TMLE
- How to build a causal roadmap for your project
- How Mark uses math to solve real-world problems
- Why uncertainty quantification is so important
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Video version available on the Youtube: https://youtu.be/qr5JolEAuJU
Recorded on Sep 16, 2025 in Berkeley, California, US.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*About The Guest*
Mark van der Laan is a Professor in Biostatistics and Statistics at UC Berkeley. He's the godfather of Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE), a semiparametric framework that uses machine learning to estimate causal effects or other statistical parameters from observational data, and its new incarnation Targeted Machine Learning.
*About The Host*
Aleksander (Alex) Molak is an independent machine learning researcher, educator, entrepreneur and a best-selling a

Psst! The Folium Diary has something it wants to tell you - please come a little closer...
YOU can change the world - you do it every day. Let's change it for the better, together.
Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

Support the show

Causal Bandits Podcast
Causal AI || Causal Machine Learning || Causal Inference & Discovery
Web: https://causalbanditspodcast.com
Connect on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aleksandermolak/
Join Causal Python Weekly: https://causalpython.io
The Causal Book: https://amzn.to/3QhsRz4

  continue reading

Chapters

1. Create Your Causal Inference Roadmap. Causal Inference, TMLE & Sensitivity | Mark van der Laan S2E6 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com (00:00:00)

2. [Ad] Psst! The Folium Diary has something it wants to tell you - please come a little closer... (00:14:53)

3. (Cont.) Create Your Causal Inference Roadmap. Causal Inference, TMLE & Sensitivity | Mark van der Laan S2E6 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com (00:15:42)

35 episodes

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iconShare
 
Manage episode 507902324 series 3526805
Content provided by Alex Molak. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Alex Molak or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

Send us a text

Create Your Causal Inference Roadmap. Causal Inference, TMLE & Sensitivity

If you're into causal inference and machine learning you probably heard about double machine learning (DML).
DML is one of the most popular frameworks leveraging machine learning algorithms for causal inference, while offering good statistical properties.
Yet...
There's another framework that also leverages machine learning for causal inference that was created years earlier.
Welcome to the world of targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE).
Our today's guest, Prof. Mark van der Laan (UC Berkeley) is the godfather of TMLE.
In the episode, we discuss:
- Similarities and differences between DML and TMLE
- How to build a causal roadmap for your project
- How Mark uses math to solve real-world problems
- Why uncertainty quantification is so important
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Video version available on the Youtube: https://youtu.be/qr5JolEAuJU
Recorded on Sep 16, 2025 in Berkeley, California, US.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*About The Guest*
Mark van der Laan is a Professor in Biostatistics and Statistics at UC Berkeley. He's the godfather of Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE), a semiparametric framework that uses machine learning to estimate causal effects or other statistical parameters from observational data, and its new incarnation Targeted Machine Learning.
*About The Host*
Aleksander (Alex) Molak is an independent machine learning researcher, educator, entrepreneur and a best-selling a

Psst! The Folium Diary has something it wants to tell you - please come a little closer...
YOU can change the world - you do it every day. Let's change it for the better, together.
Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

Support the show

Causal Bandits Podcast
Causal AI || Causal Machine Learning || Causal Inference & Discovery
Web: https://causalbanditspodcast.com
Connect on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aleksandermolak/
Join Causal Python Weekly: https://causalpython.io
The Causal Book: https://amzn.to/3QhsRz4

  continue reading

Chapters

1. Create Your Causal Inference Roadmap. Causal Inference, TMLE & Sensitivity | Mark van der Laan S2E6 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com (00:00:00)

2. [Ad] Psst! The Folium Diary has something it wants to tell you - please come a little closer... (00:14:53)

3. (Cont.) Create Your Causal Inference Roadmap. Causal Inference, TMLE & Sensitivity | Mark van der Laan S2E6 | CausalBanditsPodcast.com (00:15:42)

35 episodes

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