The Real Crypto Cycle: What Happens When Global Liquidity Peaks

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The Real Crypto Cycle: What Happens When Global Liquidity Peaks | Michael Howell

2d ago

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Global liquidity veteran Michael Howell joins to map out the “master variable” driving asset prices: a 65-month global liquidity and debt refinancing cycle that underpins booms, busts, and the recent “everything bubble.”
He breaks down the coming debt maturity wall, rising repo stress, the shift from Fed QE to “Treasury QE,” and a new capital war between a US dollar stablecoin system and China’s gold-backed strategy.
Plus, what all of this means for Bitcoin, gold, equities, and how to position as the current cycle rolls over.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

0:45 Global Liquidity: Theory of Everything?

14:49 Will it Go Up Forever?

24:50 Where Are We in The Cycle?

34:23 Asset Allocation

47:14 Can The Monetary Regime Break?

58:55 China Gold vs US Tech

1:04:29 Crypto & Gold

1:08:03 4-Year Cycles

1:12:40 AI Bubble

1:15:14 Global Liquidity Limitations

1:18:39 Next 3-6 Months

1:20:24 Assets to Hold

1:21:25 Closing & Disclaimers

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RESOURCES

CrossBorder Capital

https://x.com/crossbordercap

CrossBorder Capital Website

https://crossbordercapital.com

Capital Wars Substack

https://capitalwars.substack.com/

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