Search a title or topic

Over 20 million podcasts, powered by 

Player FM logo
Artwork

Content provided by Dean Curnutt. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Dean Curnutt or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.
Player FM - Podcast App
Go offline with the Player FM app!

Bitcoin, Price / Vol Spirals and MSTR

23:10
 
Share
 

Manage episode 454292846 series 2516749
Content provided by Dean Curnutt. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Dean Curnutt or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

What follows are some of my recent thoughts on a favorite topic: the interaction between option prices and the assets upon which these options are written. Specifically, I share thoughts on price / vol spirals, which come in two flavors: a) the asset plummets and vol explodes b) the asset surges and vol explodes. In the first, which we might call "Melt Down", the asset nears a bankruptcy cliff as vol surges. See GFC.
In "Melt Up", there's typically some version of a short squeeze involved. Everyone’s trying to get their hands on the same thing all at once. And that brings us to MSTR, the bitcoin buying engine run by Michael Saylor. There are some important considerations for evaluating risk in MSTR, driven by the fascinating interaction between the stock and both the leverage ETFs and options that sit alongside it. Especially given the unique empirical and implied distribution of bitcoin, these products create powerful powerful feedback loops that ought to be understood.
I hope you find this discussion interesting and useful.

  continue reading

224 episodes

Artwork

Bitcoin, Price / Vol Spirals and MSTR

Alpha Exchange

128 subscribers

published

iconShare
 
Manage episode 454292846 series 2516749
Content provided by Dean Curnutt. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Dean Curnutt or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

What follows are some of my recent thoughts on a favorite topic: the interaction between option prices and the assets upon which these options are written. Specifically, I share thoughts on price / vol spirals, which come in two flavors: a) the asset plummets and vol explodes b) the asset surges and vol explodes. In the first, which we might call "Melt Down", the asset nears a bankruptcy cliff as vol surges. See GFC.
In "Melt Up", there's typically some version of a short squeeze involved. Everyone’s trying to get their hands on the same thing all at once. And that brings us to MSTR, the bitcoin buying engine run by Michael Saylor. There are some important considerations for evaluating risk in MSTR, driven by the fascinating interaction between the stock and both the leverage ETFs and options that sit alongside it. Especially given the unique empirical and implied distribution of bitcoin, these products create powerful powerful feedback loops that ought to be understood.
I hope you find this discussion interesting and useful.

  continue reading

224 episodes

All episodes

×
 
Loading …

Welcome to Player FM!

Player FM is scanning the web for high-quality podcasts for you to enjoy right now. It's the best podcast app and works on Android, iPhone, and the web. Signup to sync subscriptions across devices.

 

Copyright 2025 | Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | | Copyright
Listen to this show while you explore
Play