The Margin of Error is a weekly podcast for disgruntled liberals hosted by Allan and Carson, two lefty Army veterans-turned-over-educated-and-under-qualified casual observers with strong feelings about politics, books, and popular culture.
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Margin of Error is a podcast that unpacks global issues at the intersection of politics, development and economics — guided by research, and open to uncertainty.
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The Last Great American Election (or The Lesser of Two Evils) is a sesquifortinightly-released show that is a close (yet distant) examination of the 2024 election and the people who are (not) involved. Along the way, the nature of humanity is explored and revered in a proper manner befitting us all. Keep all hands inside the vehicle...
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Look closely at almost anything and you’ll find data—lots of it. But when you push past the calculations, what are all those numbers really saying about who we are and what we believe? CNN’s Harry Enten is on a mission to find out. This season on Margins of Error, Harry teases out big ideas like what accents say about where we live, how much money it takes to be happy, and whether the U.S. should finally switch to the metric system.
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Every other week we bring you a wonderfully entertaining, low stakes, Absolutely no shame story of a DNF in the ultramarathon, sub ultra, FKT, or thru hike world.
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Randy and Dave discuss issues of the day. You know, podcasty kind of stuff.
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A podcast for high-functioning moms rethinking their relationship with alcohol — and ready to uncover what’s really driving it. If you’ve ever asked, “Why can’t I just have one and be done?” There’s nothing wrong with you. You’re just running an old subconscious program — one that’s not built for the life you’re living now. As moms with full calendars and zero margin for error, we need a different way in. One that works beneath the surface — and fits inside real life. Hosted by me - Claudia ...
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A shifting economic order. Rising geopolitical risk. Capital on edge. In The Real Estate Market Watch, Dr. Adam Gower, author, academic, and commercial real estate veteran with over 40 years of experience, examines the macroeconomic signals reshaping the real estate investment landscape. This isn’t a show about deal hype or trend-chasing. It’s about what happens when confidence meets correction - and how investors and sponsors can respond with clarity, discipline, and a focus on downside pro ...
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Fascinating guests. Fun conversations. A podcast with Ray Keating - author of the Pastor Stephen Grant thrillers and mysteries, the Alliance of Saint Michael historical fiction, The Weekly Economist, The Weekly Economist II, Free Trade Rocks!, and Behind Enemy Lines - discussing a wide range of issues. What does PRESS CLUB C stand for? Politics, Religion, Economics, Sports, Stories (books, authors and writing), Culture (entertainment), Life, Understanding, Business & Entrepreneurship, and Co ...
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Cravings, alcohol, drinking, and your subconscious — what if these weren’t enemies, but messages? In this episode, I show you why cravings aren't a sign of weakness — they’re your subconscious trying to protect you. When you shift from resisting them to listening, everything changes. Here’s what we dive into: – Why cravings are not what you think (…
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The Looming Crisis Few Want to Confront Paul Daneshrad, CEO of StarPoint Properties and author of Money and Morons, is sounding the alarm: the United States is barreling toward a sovereign debt reckoning – and real estate professionals are not nearly prepared. Citing economists Reinhart and Rogoff, along with voices as diverse as Jamie Dimon, Jerom…
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Bikepacking DNF - Haley's close call w/ Semis, deadly cliffs, and the worst of all of that .. judgmental people
55:25
55:25
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55:25we made our instagram account- check it out for visual context-> @dnf.diaries https://www.instagram.com/dnf.diaries/ WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are honored to tell your stories of your DNF. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gma…
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The Crash You Won’t See Coming — Because It’s Already Started
58:42
58:42
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58:42The Real Estate Cycle: A Warning for 2026 Insights from Phil Anderson on the Coming Real Estate Market Crash In my conversation with renowned economist Phil Anderson, you will gain unprecedented insight into the mechanics of real estate cycles and why we are right on the precipice of the next major real estate market crash. Anderson, author of "The…
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The Margin of Error Has Vanished: What CRE Investors Should Be Watching Now Commentary on a conversation with John Chang, Senior Vice President and National Director, Research and Advisory Services, Marcus & Millichap The New CRE Investment Mandate: Survive First, Then Thrive “The margin of error has narrowed to virtually zero.” This was John Chang…
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Leyla Kunimoto brings a rare and unfiltered perspective to today’s commercial real estate conversation: that of a full-time individual LP who writes publicly about her investment decisions. She’s not a sponsor, a capital raiser, or a fund manager; she’s an investor allocating her own capital and speaking candidly about what she sees in the market. …
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#25: Why Most Moms Fail before They Start
19:23
19:23
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19:23“I’m just taking a break…” If that’s your plan, this episode is your wake-up call. Most moms fail at quitting drinking before they even begin — not because they’re weak, but because they’re preparing for the wrong thing. You’re not just quitting a habit. You’re confronting your brain’s deepest wiring. In this episode, I unpack: – The #1 belief that…
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How to Survive the Coming Real Estate Storm
1:14:53
1:14:53
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1:14:53How to Survive the Coming Real Estate Storm – What Sean Kelly-Rand Learned at Lehman For the experienced real estate investor or sponsor, this is a masterclass in what really matters. When Lehman Brothers unraveled in 2008, it exposed a truth that many in the real estate world still prefer to ignore: even the most sophisticated capital structures c…
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Navigating Multifamily CRE in a Volatile Environment
44:19
44:19
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44:19Navigating Multifamily CRE in a Volatile Environment Insights from Paul Fiorilla, Director of U.S. Research at Yardi Matrix Paul Fiorilla offers a data-driven view of today’s commercial real estate (CRE) landscape using the vast resources he has at his disposal at Yardi. While market sentiment may be growing more optimistic, Fiorilla acknowledges i…
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#24: How to Access the Subconscious Scripts Running Your Drinking Habits
20:56
20:56
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20:56Ever found yourself with a drink in hand and wondered,"Wait—did I even decide this?" You're not alone. And no, it's not about discipline. In this episode, I pull back the curtain on the subconscious scripts silently running the show—those quiet, automatic loops that decide when, why, and how much you drink... often without your permission. We'll di…
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In which we upload another puzzling collection of tiny fragments from the previous season that are scientifically formulated to stimulate the more sensitive parts of your brain governing taste, mirth, and subscriptions… and to remind you Season Two is coming very, very soon.By One Down Two Left Enterprises
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The Dollar Standard, Global Liquidity, and the Coming Economic Reckoning In my expansive and highly accessible conversation with renowned economist Richard Duncan, we discuss the logic behind his long-running critique of the international monetary system, a system Richard calls the Dollar Standard where he explains why current U.S. policy moves, th…
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No Margin for Error - Julian and Mylon's Harrowing Backcountry DNF (and almost death)
52:42
52:42
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52:42we made our instagram account- check it out for visual context-> @dnf.diaries https://www.instagram.com/dnf.diaries/ WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are honored to tell your stories of your DNF. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gma…
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When it comes to understanding real estate cycles, few voices carry as much weight as Prof. Glenn Mueller, of Denver University. With over 40 years in the real estate industry and more than three decades of publishing the Market Cycle Monitor – used by institutional investors, developers, and academics alike – his data-driven framework is one of th…
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#23: Is It Really ‘Not That Bad’? The Quiet Trap That Keeps Moms Drinking
12:14
12:14
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12:14You don’t drink every night. You’re holding it all together. So what’s the big deal? For many high-functioning moms questioning their drinking, this is the thought that keeps them stuck: “It’s not that bad.” But what if that whisper isn’t truth—it’s a trap? In this episode, Claudia shares the sentence her son said that cracked her world wide open. …
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Unlocking Private Market Potential: Key Insights from Jim Dowd of North Capital Jim Dowd, CEO of North Capital, brings four decades of experience across the sell-side and buy-side to my discussion with him on a topic top of mind for commercial real estate sponsors and investors: how to navigate a rapidly shifting capital landscape where regulation,…
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The Pulse of the Debt Markets — with Orest Mandzy, CRE Direct Capital market confidence is cautiously returning, but undercurrents of risk remain. In my wide-ranging conversation with Orest Mandzy, Managing Editor of Commercial Real Estate Direct, we discuss what recent CMBS issuance tells us about liquidity, why delinquency headlines may be mislea…
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#22: That Voice That Says 'Just One' — And What to Say Back
14:55
14:55
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14:55For sober curious moms rethinking alcohol or trying to cut back drinking, this moment is all too familiar... You might have promised yourself - as I myself did hundreds of times - this morning: no drink tonight. But then it’s 6 PM, dinner’s chaos, the kids are loud—and there it is again: “Just one won’t hurt.” If you’ve ever stood at the fridge, dr…
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Rates, Risk, and the Return of Discipline
1:01:47
1:01:47
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1:01:47What the Debt Markets Are Telling Us — and Why Sponsors Should Listen Insights from Lisa Pendergast, Executive Director, CREFC In today’s capital markets, where debt is more expensive, less available, and slower to move, understanding how credit flows work has become just as important as understanding your deal. That’s why I sat down with Lisa Pend…
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Runners Brain DNF - Simon's Stokely Story
1:04:27
1:04:27
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1:04:27Simon emailed back and said it was cool if he wasn't anonymous!! so close!! we made our instagram account- check it out for visual context-> @dnf.diaries https://www.instagram.com/dnf.diaries/ WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are honored to tell your stories of your DNF. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so …
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#21: Why Smart Moms Can't Moderate Drinking
22:41
22:41
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22:41Moderation as a smart mom takes lots of mental energy- but guess what? Your subconscious usually wins that fight 😳 You’re smart. You’re logical. You’re a damn responsible mom. So why the hell does moderation keep slipping through your fingers? It’s not a willpower problem. It’s not that you’re doing something wrong. It’s that your brain — your bril…
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#20: Starting Sober in Secret: Is It Really Easier That Way?
27:48
27:48
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27:48You want to drink less—or maybe quit—but without making a big announcement. No questions, no judgment, no pressure. Just quietly… on your own. This episode is for every mom who’s ever whispered, “I’ll figure this out myself.” Claudia explores the common (and totally human) desire to start a sober journey incognito. Whether you’re sober curious, cut…
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Debt-Driven Reality: Understanding CRE’s Structural Fragility Cracks Beneath the Surface In this episode of The Real Estate Market Watch, I sit down with Jon Winick, CEO of Clark Street Capital, to explore the increasingly fragile foundation of the commercial real estate (CRE) market. Winick draws on decades of experience in loan portfolio sales, b…
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Was this a legit DNF or is this a conspiracy?
52:38
52:38
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52:38we made our instagram account- check it out for visual context-> @dnf.diaries https://www.instagram.com/dnf.diaries/ WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are honored to tell your stories of your DNF. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gma…
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When you listen in to this week's podcast/YouTube show guest, Elijah Iung, you’ll love hearing about his journey from farmhand to capital raiser. Before he was investing in multifamily deals, he was knee-deep in… well, let’s just say a much messier kind of asset management. But that dirty work paid off. Elijah built a multi-seven-figure business in…
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Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs: A New Trade War? (Deep Dive Series)
8:22
8:22
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8:22President Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs” aim to level the playing field — but at what cost? In this episode, Alex and Samira break down the bold policy move that’s already rattling global markets. Is this economic justice or the start of a trade war reboot?By Alex & Samira
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Please welcome my guest today, dentist Josh Cochran, who didn’t just build the largest general dental group in the Inland Northwest, he built a real estate empire while he was at it. After selling a stake in his thriving dental practice, he set his sights on commercial real estate, starting with medical retail development before getting involved in…
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#19: How to Take a 7-Day Break from Drinking—Without Struggling Through It
20:30
20:30
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20:30You can quit drinking for seven days. That’s not the hard part. The real challenge? Doing it without counting down the minutes until it’s over. Without relying on willpower. Without white-knuckling your way through every craving—only to jump right back in on day 8. But what if there’s a way to do it differently? In this episode, we’ll cover: ✅ The …
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Corruption: The Hidden Tax on Development (Deep Dive Series)
15:38
15:38
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15:38How does corruption quietly choke progress? In this episode, we unpack how bribery, fraud, and embezzlement distort economies, deepen inequality, and hollow out public trust — ultimately stalling sustainable development. Drawing from research, we explore the real cost of corruption beyond headlines, and why fixing it is more than a moral issue — it…
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Why Most Capital Raisers Fail (And How to Succeed)
52:21
52:21
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52:21Meet capital allocator, Flint Jamison, Vestus Capital, who took an unconventional route into real estate transitioning from aerospace engineering to structuring multimillion-dollar investment funds. After spending years modifying aircraft, he turned his analytical mind toward real estate, quickly carving out a niche as a capital allocator and fund-…
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Stop! Watch This Before Investing in Real Estate
43:40
43:40
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43:40Today on the podcast, we unravel the complexities of passive investing with Kurt Novak, an experienced investor who’s navigated nearly 50 syndications and uncovered some surprising truths on his journey. When Kurt sold his entire real estate portfolio - rental properties, a self-storage facility, and a thriving brokerage - he thought he was settlin…
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In which we make a pastiche of morsels from the last season to remind you of the mirth and mayhem, mercilessly tantalizing your ears for next season (which is coming soon).By One Down Two Left Enterprises
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When you think of a capital allocator, "former physical therapist" probably isn’t the first thing that comes to mind but Kent Leach isn’t your typical investor. From flipping houses to launching a customizable fund that raised nearly $2M in its first year, Kent’s journey into commercial real estate is as unconventional as it is impressive. In this …
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#18: The Biggest Lie About Sobriety (That Keeps Quitting Way Too Difficult)
21:33
21:33
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21:33If you think quitting drinking means fighting cravings for the rest of your life—white-knuckling through every social event, resisting the urge day after day—this episode is for you. Because that belief? It’s the biggest lie about sobriety. The truth is, the longer you go without alcohol, the less you want it. Sobriety isn’t about deprivation—it’s …
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The Fastest Way to Build an Investor Network
54:32
54:32
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54:32Randy Smith, my guest this week, didn’t start out in real estate—he was a high-performing sales executive in the corporate world. But after seeing the potential of passive investing, he made pivoted, leaving behind the W-2 grind to become a full-time capital allocator. Since then, Randy has raised over $13 million, partnering with sponsors to help …
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we made our instagram account- check it out for visual context-> @dnf.diaries https://www.instagram.com/dnf.diaries/ WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are honored to tell your stories of your DNF. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gma…
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#17: Puberty & Sobriety: The Unexpected Parenting Superpower
18:03
18:03
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18:03Raising a teenager can feel like an emotional rollercoaster. Attitude, boundary-pushing, mood swings—it’s intense. And for so long, you’ve been told that a drink at the end of the day is the only way to cope. But what if that’s not true? In this episode, we’re getting real about: 💡 Why parenting a teen without alcohol actually makes things easier, …
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My guest this week, Franklin Spees, has worn just about every hat in the real estate game - lawyer, city planner, broker, property manager, investor, and now, a capital allocator. His path into commercial real estate syndications started with managing properties, evolved into structuring deals, and ultimately landed him in the allocator space, wher…
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#16: 3 Things I Never Saw Coming When I Quit Drinking
22:52
22:52
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22:52Quitting drinking can feel like stepping into the unknown. You think you know what to expect—more stress, awkward social situations, feeling like you're missing out. But what if the biggest surprises are actually good ones? In this episode, we’re talking about the unexpected ways sobriety changes your life for the better. Not the cliché stuff, but …
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Mexico Jungle DNF🇲🇽 - Helen Mino Faukner's Adventure
59:04
59:04
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59:04we made our instagram account- check it out for visual context-> @dnf.diaries https://www.instagram.com/dnf.diaries/ WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are honored to tell your stories of your DNF. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gma…
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From Medical Devices to $2B in Real Estate
47:34
47:34
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47:34What happens when a former medical device professional takes his precision, risk management skills, and analytical mindset into the world of real estate investing? You get Chris Larsen, the founder of Next-Level Income and this week’s podcast/YouTube show guest, who has placed $120M+ in equity across $2B in acquisitions as a capital allocator. Mast…
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#15: Not Ready to Quit? This First Step Will Change Everything
29:39
29:39
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29:39I used to tell myself I had everything under control—until I realized I wasn’t actually choosing to drink anymore. It was just happening. On autopilot. If you’ve ever had that tiny whisper of doubt—Is alcohol controlling me more than I’d like?—then this episode is for you. I’m not here to tell you to quit. I’m here to walk you through the first rea…
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#14: Lost in the Chaos? This Roadmap Will Help You Take Control of Your Future
22:35
22:35
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22:35If you keep going the way you are, where will you be in five years? Many moms feel stuck—overwhelmed by daily chaos, unsure of their direction, and exhausted from old habits that no longer serve them. But what if you had a clear roadmap guiding you toward the future you truly want? In this episode, we’ll walk through: The 5-year North Star method t…
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60% of people DNF this race - Brandon's Ouray Experience
51:30
51:30
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51:30we did end up making an instagram account-> https://tinyurl.com/ye48vjwh WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are honored to tell your stories of your DNF. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gmail account - [email protected] or fil…
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#13: What Most Moms Miss: the hidden Energy Vampire
24:43
24:43
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24:43To feel drained at the end of the day might not be just mom life—it could be a hidden energy vampire keeping you stuck in exhaustion. Many moms believe that a nightly drink helps them relax, recharge, and escape the chaos of motherhood. But what if that drink is actually stealing your energy, clarity, and emotional strength? In this episode, we unc…
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Alcohol can quietly take control before you even realize it. In this episode, we dive deep into the truth behind the label and explore whether it's really about addiction—or simply about control. I share my personal journey of struggling with this mindset and reveal why labeling yourself might hold you back. Get ready for a no-pressure, honest mome…
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Pizza Bandit - Howie Stern's Ouray 100 DNF Story
54:57
54:57
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54:57WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are excited to begin this podcast and honored to tell your stories of your DNF. We are baby podcasters and are trying our best. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gmail account - [email protected]…
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#11: 3 Common Mistakes in Moderating Alcohol
26:19
26:19
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26:19Moderation seems like a logical solution to get back in control of alcohol, but without a clear plan, it often backfires. In this episode, I reveal the three biggest mistakes that keep busy moms stuck in a cycle of frustration. I share my personal journey of trying to drink less and why vague limits, poor tracking, and unrealistic goals undermine y…
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WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are excited to begin this podcast and honored to tell your stories of your DNF. We are baby podcasters and are trying our best. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gmail account - [email protected]…
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Sometimes you go for broke, and you actually break- The "Kevin the Competitor" Story
42:59
42:59
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42:59WELCOME FRIENDS TO DNF DIARIES! Arlee and I are excited to begin this podcast and honored to tell your stories of your DNF. We are baby podcasters and are trying our best. Please review the podcast and share with your friends. It helps so much! If you would like to submit your own DNF story please write to our gmail account - [email protected]…
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