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Star Spangled Gamblers

Keendawg & Pratik

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Two of the world's most profitable political gamblers tell you how to bet & win real money on elections, legislation, and court cases. A must-listen for anyone tired of partisan news & bogus polls that obscure the facts.
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Welcome to the Spurgeon Legacy Podcast! This podcast is a production of CHSpurgeon.com, which exists to share helpful resources by and about the Prince of Preachers, Charles Haddon Spurgeon. Each week we'll explore Spurgeon's enduring ministry through unabridged audio sermons delivered with the dynamic of live preaching, essays, devotionals, and selections from Spurgeon’s writings, as well as interviews with authors, biographers, and others who appreciate Spurgeon’s ministry. I encourage you ...
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In this sermon on Galatians 2:21, CH Spurgeon confronts the error of seeking salvation by works rather than by faith in Christ. He shows how works-based righteousness undermines the gospel, minimizes Christ's sacrifice, and exalts self instead of God. Spurgeon contrasts this false way with the true gospel of grace, declaring that salvation is wholl…
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Jeffrey Pritchard, Legal Director of the Coalition for Political Forecasting, analyzes lawsuits about Kalshi's sports contracts and their implications for prediction markets. Rule3O3 discusses Indian-American gender divides and the impact of childhood grievances on politics. Timestamps 0:11: Chougule introduces segment with Pritchard 1:07: Chougule…
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In this sermon on Proverbs 22:13 and 26:13, CH Spurgeon addresses the excuses of the slothful person, who claims, “There is a lion in the way,” to justify shirking his duty. Spurgeon uses this picture to expose the self-deception of laziness, particularly in spiritual matters. He warns that many put off repentance, obedience, and service by inventi…
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Jeffrey Pritchard, attorney and writer at Comped.com, returns to discuss developments in prediction market regulation under the Trump administration. Timestamps 0:00: Intro begins 0:37: CFTC prediction market roundtable 1:40: Polymarket investigation 3:02: Regulatory entrepreneurship 5:43: Intro ends 7:43: Interview begins 8:16: Comped.com 9:51: Tr…
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Have you ever wondered what it was like to attend a worship service at Charles Spurgeon’s church? On this episode of the Spurgeon Legacy Podcast, we'll explore vivid first-hand accounts from those who experienced a Sunday service at the Metropolitan Tabernacle during Spurgeon’s ministry. Here's what it was like to spend a Sunday with Spurgeon. Than…
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In “A Gospel Worth Dying For,” Charles Spurgeon proclaims the unparalleled value of the Gospel of Grace. He emphasizes that the true gospel is worth living for and worth dying for. Spurgeon underscores the necessity of faith in Jesus Christ and the assurance of salvation it brings, presenting the gospel as the ultimate truth worth proclaiming and d…
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Jacky Pritchard, political bettor and former NY state lawyer, explains how Andrew Cuomo emerged as the frontrunning for New York City mayor. Timestamps 0:17: Jacky Pritchard 0:55: Pratik's impressions from Queens 2:44: Follow @iabvek and @politicalkiwi 3:17: Intro ends 5:17: Interview begins 6:00: How Jacky became interested in political betting 8:…
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David Chee (@Hs_SirSalty) is the head organizer of Manifest. Before joining Manifold, he was a professional gamer, earning a number 1 ranking in the world at Hearthstone. David and Pratik (@pjchougule) discuss lessons from the gaming community on how to grow prediction markets. They also promote Manifest 2025. Timestamps 1:26: Number of Hearthstone…
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In this sermon on John 12:28, CH Spurgeon meditates on Jesus’ prayer, “Father, glorify thy name,” spoken just before His arrest and crucifixion. Though His soul was troubled, Christ’s chief desire was not deliverance but that God be glorified through it all. Spurgeon presents this as the believer’s highest aim—to echo Christ’s golden prayer in ever…
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Welcome to the Spurgeon Legacy Podcast. Each week we’ll explore Spurgeon’s enduring ministry through unabridged audio sermons delivered with the dynamic of live preaching, essays, devotionals, and selections from Spurgeon’s writings, as well as interviews with authors, biographers, and Spurgeon scholars. On this episode we’ll get to hear from Alex …
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In 2016, Blitz (@blizzythegoat24) bet on Donald Trump to win the general election. In 2020, Blitz not only bet on Biden to win the election, he guessed the outcome of every state correctly. In 2024, he managed to do the same. He bet on Trump to win the election and guessed every state correctly. In this episode, Blitz explains for the first time ho…
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In this sermon on Luke 23:48, Spurgeon reflects on the crowd’s reaction after witnessing Christ’s crucifixion—how they “smote their breasts” as they departed from Calvary. But he warns that mere emotional sorrow over Jesus’ death is not enough. True, saving sorrow goes deeper—it is a heartfelt mourning over one’s own sin in light of the Savior’s su…
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"The sting of death is sin; and the strength of sin is the law. But, thanks be unto God, which giveth us the victory through our Lord Jesus Christ."—1 Corinthians 15:56-57 In 'Thoughts on the Last Battle,' Spurgeon reflects on the universal reality of death, which he calls "the last battle" that every person must face. He emphasizes that while deat…
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In his sermon The Danger of Doubting, Charles Spurgeon reflects on 1 Samuel 27:1, where David, overwhelmed by fear, says in his heart, "I shall now perish one day by the hand of Saul." Spurgeon highlights how even God's most faithful servants can fall into moments of doubt, allowing fear to overshadow their trust in God's promises. Spurgeon warns t…
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Harry Crane (@harrydcrane) explains how his model forecasted every state correctly in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Timestamps 0:00: Intro 1:37: Intro ends 3:38: Interview with Crane begins 3:39: When Crane began developing model 3:59: Crane's goals 4:43: Assumptions behind the model 5:12: Polls 6:35: Voter registration 6:56: Crane's Sept 1 …
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CH Spurgeon famously said, "No man can do me a truer kindness in this world than to pray for me." His entire ministry reflected his complete reliance on prayer. On this episode we’re joined by Pastor Keeney Dickson, Senior Pastor of First Baptist Church in Crockett, founder of Prayerdigm Ministries, and author of Spurgeon: The Prayer-Powered Pulpit…
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Rule3O3 returns to discuss how Trump will resolve the debate on the right over H-1B visas. Timestamps 0:00: Intro begins 0:59: Modi-Trump meeting 2:00: Intro ends 4:00: Episode begins 5:13: Why the H1-B debate erupted 5:43: Sriram Krishnan 9:39: Laura Loomer 14:05: Right-wing debate 16:28: Indians 17:07: Chinese H-1Bs 18:00: Why Silicon Valley want…
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In A Bright Light in Deep Shades, Charles Spurgeon reflects on Isaiah 51:1, where God calls His people to remember the rock from which they were hewn. Spurgeon encourages believers to look beyond their present trials and remember God's past faithfulness, finding renewed courage and hope in His unchanging promises. Whether you are facing hardship or…
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Part 1: Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) makes the bear case on Kash Patel's confirmation odds Part 2: Rule3O3 (@Rule3O3) analyzes Vivek Ramaswamy's H1B gaffe Timestamps 0:00: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) intro 0:46: Pratik's updated odds on Patel's confirmation 2:03: Hegseth's confirmation 3:01: Pratik introduces Ramaswamy segment 5:41: Intro ends 7:42: Pa…
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In this sermon, Charles Spurgeon speaks to people who feel like they need a miracle or special sign before they can believe in Jesus. Drawing from Luke 11:29, he highlights the sufficiency of Christ's finished work and the urgency of responding to the gospel. Spurgeon urges listeners to lay aside doubts and excuses, pointing them to the simplicity …
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Rutgers statistician Harry Crane critiques Nate Silver's model. Timestamps 1:49: Intro ends 3:55: Interview begins 4:08: Crane's bio 8:50: Nate Silver 10:42: Critique of Silver's model 12:42: Silver's criticism of prediction markets 23:57: Silver as tout 25:04: Silver's model 27:48: Simulations in Silver's model 30:51: 50-50 election forecasts Foll…
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Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) argues that Pete Hegseth, Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, is much less likely to get confirmed than the current markets prices indicate. Dr. Cruse and Pratik Chougule also discuss the universe of Republican senators who are willing to vote against Trump nominees. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces episode 0:11: Thun…
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CH Spurgeon warned parents about two errors they can make when raising their children: neglecting their souls or assuming that they will automatically be saved because of the faith of their parents. On this episode we will discuss how to avoid both of these errors. We’re talking with Pastor Brandon Rhea, who has written the forward for a new editio…
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Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) returns to discuss the strategy behind Trump's nominations and administration appointments. Timestamps 0:08: Pratik introduces segment on Trump appointments 1:18: Call to support SSG 2:16: Golden Modelos 2:58: Intro ends 4:59: Trump segment begins 7:12: Trump's strategy 7:35: 4-D Chess? 25:45: Sarah Palin 33:02: Golden Modelo…
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Gaeten Dugas (@GaetenD) and Fred Norris (@PIsFredNorris) celebrate (belatedly) the winners of the 2023 Golden Modelos for the best and worst of political gambling. Timestamps 2:04: Appreciating the political betting community 2:42: Golden Modelos 2024 3:20: Intro ends 5:19: Episode begins 5:28: What are the Golden Modelos? 8:36: Rookie of the Year …
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Delivered by CH Spurgeon on December 23, 1860, “A Merry Christmas” reflects on the joy of Christmas and its true significance. He emphasizes that the season is not merely about outward festivities but a heartfelt celebration of Christ's incarnation. Spurgeon reminds his listeners that Christ’s birth brought the hope of salvation to sinners, an occa…
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Part 1: Fred Norris (@PIsFredNorris) declares victory in his side bet with Zoltar (@zoltarssg) on how ratings at Fox News would fare following Tucker Carlson's departure. Part 2: Coalition for Political Forecasting Research Director Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) and Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discuss the merits of CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam…
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In “A Christmas Question,” Spurgeon challenges his listeners to move beyond mere festive celebrations to examine whether they can include themselves in Isaiah's words that that "unto us a child is born, unto us a son is given.” By posing a direct question—whether each individual can truly call Jesus their own—Spurgeon encourages self-reflection, ur…
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In this sermon on John 8:12, CH Spurgeon proclaims Christ as the Light of the World. He emphasizes that Jesus illuminates the truth about God, dispels the darkness of sin, and provides guidance for believers in a fallen world. Listeners are challenged to live as reflections of Christ’s light, shining brightly in a dark world to lead others to salva…
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"Let us constantly read the Scriptures! Let us read them, I would say, in preference to other books. Oh, my Brothers and Sisters, read the Bible! Read the Bible and these things that enfeeble will lose all their attraction for you! If my sermons kept people from reading the Bible for themselves, I would like to see the whole stock in a blaze and bu…
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Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield discuss why the courts are allowing Kalshi to offer election markets for now, and provide an update on the litigation between Kalshi and the CFTC. Timestamps 0:00: Introduction begins 0:20: 2024 elections and prediction markets 0:31: Victory for Polymarket 1:53: Kalshi legal case 7:09: Interview with Bransfield b…
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In "Zealous But Wrong," CH Spurgeon emphasizes that salvation is not achieved through zealous works or religious fervor, but solely through faith in Christ. He reflects on the Apostle Paul’s warning against zeal without knowledge in Romans 10, noting that many are driven by religious enthusiasm yet lack a true understanding of God’s righteousness. …
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Epoch Times reporter John Haughey tells us what he's hearing from Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces John Haughey 3:00: SSG pre-election coverage 4:01: Manifold election party 6:52: Interview begins 7:39: Epoch Times 19:34: Haughey's interest in political betting 24:43: Data 31:16: Republican uniformity of message 38:28: Impressions from the ground…
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Recently I had the opportunity to join Troy Frasier over at Revived Thoughts, an excellent podcast dedicated to bringing historical sermons to life. Troy and I spoke about the life and ministry of CH Spurgeon, with a particular focus on the Downgrade Controversy. Learn about this important issue and how it impacted Spurgeon's life and work. After o…
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David Glidden (@dglid), co-founder of the Forecasting Meetup Network, provides a step-by-step how-to guide to organizing a forecasting meetup. Timestamps 1:08: Review of September forecasting meetup 2:08: Polymarket's commitment to community-building 3:03: October forecasting meetup 7:03: Interview with Glidden begins 8:29: Working with a partner 9…
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In "The Soul’s Great Crisis," Spurgeon expounds on Romans 7:8-9, addressing the role of God's law in revealing our sin and driving us to recognize our spiritual crisis. Spurgeon explores how we may live in false security, believing we are righteous through outward obedience because we fail to grasp the true spiritual demands of the law. However, wh…
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In "God’s Cure for Man’s Weakness," Spurgeon reflects on Hebrews 11:34 and shows how God often works through our frailty to display His strength. He emphasizes that believers are not hindered by their weakness; instead, it is in our weakness that God's power is fully revealed. Spurgeon examines biblical examples of those who were weak, yet empowere…
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In this sermon on Ephesians 3:8, CH Spurgeon reflects on the "unsearchable riches of Christ," emphasizing the limitless spiritual blessings available to us through the Gospel. He explains that Christ's riches are unsearchable because they offer boundless love to sinners, forgiveness for those who repent, comfort for the mourning, and wisdom for the…
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David Glidden (@dglid) draws lessons from the sports betting world for building the forecasting community. Timestamps 0:00: Intro begins 0:09: Saul Munn 1:26: David Glidden 1:52: Washington DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup 6:54: Interview with Glidden begins 13:32: Importance of building forecasting community 14:39: Effective altruism 2…
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Pratik Chougule summarizes the latest developments in the legal battle between Kalshi and the CFTC on election betting. Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield do a deep dive into the CFTC's arguments in front of DC federal district court Judge Jia Cobb. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces segment with Bransfield 1:43: Update on latest in Kalshi-CFTC le…
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"We preach, at God’s command, the way of salvation by mercy, not by merit; by faith, not by works; by grace, not by the efforts of men. May God help us so to set forth that principle, that many may accept it. I do not care one snap of my finger about preaching so that the style shall please the ear, but I long to reach your hearts. I want you to re…
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The Spurgeon Library at Midwestern Baptist Theological Seminary has become the primary location for Spurgeon scholarship. It contains the bulk of Spurgeon’s personal library — more than 6,000 volumes — as well as artifacts from his life, such as his preaching rail, his writing desk, and even pews from the church where he was converted. The Spurgeon…
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Political gambling legend 50Pence challenges Alex Chan for the SSG Title Belt on the question of who will win the Trump-Harris debate. Chan and 50Pence also discuss which mention markets will hit on Polymarket and how many more Trump-Harris debates there will be before the election. Timestamps 3:49: Interview begins 4:38: How Chan won the Title Bel…
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“Brethren, I count not myself to have apprehended: but this one thing I do, forgetting those things which are behind, and reaching forth unto those things which are before, I press toward the mark for the prize of the high calling of God in Christ Jesus.” - Philippians 3:13-14 In the sermon "Onward," Charles Spurgeon focuses on Philippians 3:13-14,…
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Part I: Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield analyze Kalshi's case against the CFTC in federal court Part II: Jared Whitley discusses political trends among Mormons and other high-achieving minority groups Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces Kalshi segment 0:51: Pratik introduces Whitley segment 2:12: Mormon vote in Arizona and Nevada 3:30: Cuban-Ame…
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"I do not like being security for a man that he will return books, for no ordinary mortals ever do so." — CH Spurgeon C.H. Spurgeon, who had a personal library of 12,000 books, was especially aware of the problem of people borrowing books without returning them. So was the Prince of Preachers against borrowing and loaning books? Here's what he had …
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“Before destruction the heart of man is haughty, and before honor is humility.” — Proverbs 18:12 In "Pride and Humility," CH Spurgeon lays out the contrasting natures of pride and humility, emphasizing the destructive nature of pride and the virtues of humility. He warns that pride leads to downfall and separation from God, while humility aligns us…
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Keendawg (@keendawg) and Gaeten Dugas (@gaetend) return to the show to review the Republican National Convention and discuss what it tells us about the Trump-Harris matchup. Timestamps 3:58: Interview begins 5:19: Shayne Coplan at the RNC 18:05: Why the RNC matters 19:48: Odds on Republicans winning the presidency 27:47: Media treatment of Harris 3…
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Welcome to the Spurgeon Legacy Podcast. Each week we’ll explore Spurgeon’s enduring ministry through unabridged audio sermons delivered with the dynamic of live preaching, essays, devotionals, and selections from Spurgeon’s writings, as well as interviews with authors, biographers, and Spurgeon scholars. On this episode we’ll get to hear from Alex …
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Part I: Pratik Chougule offers his thoughts on what to say in comments to the CFTC on its event contracts proposal. Part II: Mick Bransfield discusses the federal judge who will decide the lawsuit between Kalshi and the CFTC Timestamps 1:40: How to submit a comment to the CFTC 2:57: How to watch the CFTC Open Meeting on YouTube 3:43: What to write …
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