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Boom or Bust: Kai Wu on AI CapEx, Concentration Risk, and the Next Phase of Tech

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Manage episode 509716759 series 3383922
Content provided by Michael A. Gayed, CFA, Michael A. Gayed, and CFA. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Michael A. Gayed, CFA, Michael A. Gayed, and CFA or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down the AI-driven capital cycle reshaping markets.

From Nvidia’s record-shattering deals to hyperscalers pouring trillions into infrastructure, Kai explains why today’s AI boom echoes past capital cycles—and why investors may be missing the real risk.

In this episode:
– Why mega-cap tech is shifting from asset-light to asset-heavy
– The historic link between rapid asset growth and underperformance
– Why concentration in the “Magnificent Seven” is an overlooked AI risk
– Lessons from the dot-com and railroad booms that apply to AI today
– How to position across the full AI adoption cycle

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#LeadLagLive #KaiWu #AI #TechStocks #Nvidia #Investing #Markets

Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!
Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEs
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V

Support the show

  continue reading

Chapters

1. Setup: Host, Guest, Stakes (00:00:00)

2. AI CapEx Turns Tech Asset-Heavy (00:01:47)

3. Parallels With Past Booms (00:03:55)

4. Debt, SPVs, Cross-Holdings Risks (00:06:20)

5. Asset Growth Factor Explained (00:07:55)

6. Why Physical CapEx Underperforms (00:10:40)

7. Concentration Risk in Indices (00:12:55)

8. Picks, Shovels, And Beneficiaries (00:14:50)

9. Playbook: Rotate Through Adoption Waves (00:16:35)

10. Where To Learn More & Closing (00:19:05)

868 episodes

Artwork
iconShare
 
Manage episode 509716759 series 3383922
Content provided by Michael A. Gayed, CFA, Michael A. Gayed, and CFA. All podcast content including episodes, graphics, and podcast descriptions are uploaded and provided directly by Michael A. Gayed, CFA, Michael A. Gayed, and CFA or their podcast platform partner. If you believe someone is using your copyrighted work without your permission, you can follow the process outlined here https://podcastplayer.com/legal.

In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down the AI-driven capital cycle reshaping markets.

From Nvidia’s record-shattering deals to hyperscalers pouring trillions into infrastructure, Kai explains why today’s AI boom echoes past capital cycles—and why investors may be missing the real risk.

In this episode:
– Why mega-cap tech is shifting from asset-light to asset-heavy
– The historic link between rapid asset growth and underperformance
– Why concentration in the “Magnificent Seven” is an overlooked AI risk
– Lessons from the dot-com and railroad booms that apply to AI today
– How to position across the full AI adoption cycle

Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.

#LeadLagLive #KaiWu #AI #TechStocks #Nvidia #Investing #Markets

Start your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!
Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEs
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V

Support the show

  continue reading

Chapters

1. Setup: Host, Guest, Stakes (00:00:00)

2. AI CapEx Turns Tech Asset-Heavy (00:01:47)

3. Parallels With Past Booms (00:03:55)

4. Debt, SPVs, Cross-Holdings Risks (00:06:20)

5. Asset Growth Factor Explained (00:07:55)

6. Why Physical CapEx Underperforms (00:10:40)

7. Concentration Risk in Indices (00:12:55)

8. Picks, Shovels, And Beneficiaries (00:14:50)

9. Playbook: Rotate Through Adoption Waves (00:16:35)

10. Where To Learn More & Closing (00:19:05)

868 episodes

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