The Risky Science Podcast features conversations with scientists, insurers, investors, portfolio managers, and others about the evolving science of predicting and modeling risk across both natural and man-made perils.
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Parametric Publishing Podcasts

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Prediction markets and disrupting insurance with Kalshi's Shannon Magiera
33:40
33:40
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33:40Join the Risky Science Podcast for a live discussion with Dr. Paul Wilson, Tuesday, September 23, 11 a.m. ET. Register HereBy Risk Market News
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Climate, Correlation, and Cat Bond Investing with Plenum Investments’ Dirk Schmelzer
46:55
46:55
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46:55We speak with Dirk Schmelzer, Partner at Plenum Investments in Zurich. Dirk has spent more than 15 years managing catastrophe bond and insurance-linked securities funds, and he brings a practitioner’s perspective on how catastrophe models are actually used in portfolio management and investment decisions. We’ll explore how models have evolved, wher…
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Why Trust, Transparency, and Testing Define the Future of Cat Bonds And Models with KCC’s Karen Clark
41:40
41:40
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41:40This week we speak with Karen Clark, founder of Karen Clark & Company, about the evolution of catastrophe modeling and the shift toward higher-frequency, climate-driven events.By Risk Market News
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The Modeled Through Line from Hurricane Katrina to Cyber Catastrophe Risk with Fermat Capital’s John Seo
52:48
52:48
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52:48John Seo, founder of Fermat Capital, about the lessons of Katrina for catastrophe bonds and models 20 years later. (00:00) - Introduction (02:00) - Katrina as a Market Catalyst (06:30) - Investor Confidence Under Fire (11:00) - The First True Test of Catastrophe Models (16:00) - Politics, Policy, and Deductibles (22:30) - The In-House View of Model…
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Pricing and Modeling Wildfire Risk in the Nation's Most Expensive Housing Market with Stanford's Michael Wara
54:01
54:01
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54:01Less than a year after the devastating Los Angeles fires, I’m joined by Michael Wara from Stanford University. We explore why Michael is skeptical about California developing a public wildfire model, despite being part of the strategy group that studied it. We'll dig into how the newly approved private wildfire models are about to transform Califor…
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Severe Convective Storms are Reshaping Insurance and Modeling with Dr. Victor Gensini
45:03
45:03
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45:03We talk with Dr. Victor Gensini, a professor at Northern Illinois University and one of the leading experts on severe convective storms. Dr. Gensini works with the Insurance Information Institute and has just launched a new center for convective storm research, bringing together academic research and industry needs to tackle this modeling challenge…
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Cascading Risks And a Cascadia Mega Quake With Dr. Tina Dura
42:43
42:43
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42:43In this episode we talk with Dr. Tina Dura, a coastal hazard researcher at Virginia Tech, as she unpacks a threat that most risk models still underestimate: Sudden land subsidence from a long expected Cascadia subduction zone earthquake.By Risk Market News
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Multi‑Hazard Events, Messy Data and Climate Insurance Models with Michiel Ingels
38:21
38:21
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38:21We're joined by Michiel W. Ingels, lead author of research that takes stock of the state of climate risk insurance modeling and maps out where it needs to go next.By Risk Market News
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Floods, Risk Models, and the Future of Insurance With ReThought's Cory Isaacson
42:02
42:02
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42:02On this episode of the Risky Science Podcast, we talk with Cory Isaacson, CEO of ReThought Insurance — a longtime tech and insurance executive who’s spent years building new models aimed at making flood risk more accurate, more transparent, and more insurable.By Risk Market News
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Modeling Pandemic Risk: Dr. Neil Ferguson on the Future of Epidemiology, Policy, and Private Markets
43:43
43:43
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43:43In this episode we speak with Dr. Neil Ferguson, a leading voice in infectious disease modeling and Director of the Jameel Institute at Imperial College London. We talk about how disease models are built, how they’ve evolved over the last two decades, and what happens when they move from academic research into policy, politics, and even the private…
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Multi-Hazard Modeling, AI, and the Future of Risk With Paolo Bocchini
41:02
41:02
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41:02We're joined by Dr. Paolo Bocchini, Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Lehigh University, a leading researcher in catastrophe modeling and infrastructure resilience. Dr. Bocchini is the director of Lehigh’s Center for Catastrophe Modeling and Resilience, and he’s spearheading a new collaboration with Rice University—the Consortium …
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Wargaming, Combat Modeling, and Escalation Risk With CNA’s Dr. Jeremy Sepinsky
35:32
35:32
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35:32In this episode of the podcast, we are shifting from modeling physical risks to exploring how wargaming and combat modeling is being used to understand the growing threat of geopolitical conflict. Our guest is Dr. Jeremy Sepinsky, Lead Wargame Designer at CNA, a federally funded research and development center that supports national security analys…
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Open Models, Collaboration, and Catastrophe Risk With Oasis’s Dickie Whitaker
41:01
41:01
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41:01In this episode of the Risky Science Podcast, Dickie Whitaker, CEO of the Oasis Loss Modelling Framework, discusses how open-source catastrophe modeling is transforming the risk ecosystem. Whitaker shares the origin story of Oasis and how the platform is working to lower barriers to entry, spur innovation, and increase transparency in a space long …
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Private Credit, Liquidity, Longevity and Life Insurance With S&P’s Carmi Margalit
28:09
28:09
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28:09As insurers seek higher yields in a persistent high-rate environment, private credit has become an increasingly significant part of portfolio strategies. But with that growth comes a new set of questions—about liquidity, transparency, and the long-term implications for credit quality. Carmi Margalit shares S&P’s analytical framework for assessing t…
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Modeling Risk in a Non-Stationary Climate with Dr. Daniel Swain
1:10:57
1:10:57
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1:10:57After a long hiatus, we’re back—launching a new series of conversations with finance professionals, academic researchers, and technology leaders focused on a rapidly growing and often misunderstood area of risk: modeling. In this episode, we kick things off with a conversation about weather and climate modeling with Dr. Daniel Swain, a climate scie…
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