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Marcus Webb Podcasts

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A daily 15-minute podcast exploring one moment in history that happened on this day. Narrated by Marcus Webb, Rewind Daily brings you compelling stories from the past with modern relevance.
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Join hosts Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they hunt for the sharpest edges in sports prediction markets. Broadcasting twice daily, this AI-powered show delivers the "Morning Angles" to set your strategy and the "Evening Locks" with final breaking news right before gametime. By leveraging AI to process data instantly, we go from analysis to your feed in minutes—giving you the freshest, most actionable insights before the market adjusts.
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Join Alex Mercer and Marcus as they break down tonight's massive sports slate, featuring a deep dive into the Texans and Steelers NFL Wild Card matchup and major injury shifts in the NBA. We analyze the closing numbers for the Oilers' goaltending advantage and identify a high-value underdog play in the NHL. Get the latest market movements from Poly…
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Alex Mercer and Marcus dive into a massive Monday board, hunting for mispriced probability on Polymarket. From the Sacramento injury crisis against the Lakers to the Oilers' massive edge over a depleted Blackhawks goalie room, we break down where the sharpest entries are hiding today. We also analyze why the market is overvaluing the 76ers in Toron…
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Alex Mercer and Lead Analyst Marcus Webb dive into a high-volume weekend, dissecting a 44-15 record that saw significant profit but missed opportunities for maximum alpha. The team explores why standard spread contracts failed to capitalize on structural mismatches in OKC and Philadelphia matchups. Key Highlights The Alpha Gap: Why a 74% win rate s…
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The Sunday night window is heating up, and we are tracking the latest movements in the prediction markets to find the sharpest edges before the lines close. From a high-risk moneyline play in the NFL to pace-driven totals in the NBA, this episode covers the essential data you need to manage your evening portfolio. A deep dive into the Chargers vs. …
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Market overreactions are creating massive value in today’s Wild Card matchups and NBA totals. Join Alex and Marcus as they break down why the Niners are undervalued in Philly and why missing stars in Orlando point toward a grind-it-out defensive struggle. We leverage real-time data from Polymarket to track where the sharp money is moving across bot…
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Analyze the late-night NFL rivalry as the PACKERS take on the BEARS with market-beating odds on Polymarket. We also break down a high-value college basketball "Dog of the Day" and recap a wild day of NHL and NBA action. In this episode, we dive into why the Green Bay Moneyline offers significant value compared to offshore markets and explore the an…
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Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb dive into a heavy Saturday afternoon slate where injury narratives are shifting lines across the board. Using data from Polymarket, the team analyzes high-probability outcomes for Donovan Mitchell's scoring volume and why defensive voids in the NHL create a perfect storm for a high-scoring affair in Boston. NBA: Why Dono…
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Market values are shifting rapidly ahead of tonight's College Football Playoff Semifinal and a packed professional slate. We break down the latest injury reports, including key absences for the Clippers and Raptors, that are creating massive value gaps on Polymarket. Tonight's Portfolio: CFB: Indiana vs. Oregon Semifinal analysis. NBA: Double down …
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Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb dive into a high-stakes night of prediction market action, covering everything from the CFP Semifinals to late-night NHL value. We examine why the Hurricanes are holding firm against Ole Miss and where the smart money is moving in the NBA as the Heat and Mavericks see significant line movement on Polymarket. Explore our …
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Alex Mercer and Marcus break down the coaching chaos in the College Football Playoff as MIAMI faces OLE MISS in the Fiesta Bowl. We analyze the market inefficiency in the CFP and identify high-value spots across tonight's NBA and NHL slates using Polymarket data. CFP Semifinal: Why coaching stability and EPA efficiency give MIAMI the edge over a ca…
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Late-breaking injury reports for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Brandon Miller are sending shockwaves through the prediction markets, forcing a total pivot on tonight's NBA slate. Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb navigate the late-evening volatility to find value in shifting lines and roster crises across the NBA, NHL, and NCAA. Tonight's deep dive covers …
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We’re hunting for market inefficiencies as the Raptors look to exploit a shorthanded Hornets frontcourt and the Thunder prepare to lay massive wood against a struggling Jazz defense. Join Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they dive into real-time probability data to find the 'Alpha' in today's sports markets. Toronto Raptors vs. Charlotte Hornets: Ana…
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Tonight we dive into late-breaking market shifts for the NBA and NHL slates, focusing on high-conviction plays and identifying mathematical value traps. We analyze why the Cavaliers are a sharp play against a decimated Pacers squad and hunt for massive underdog value with our NHL Dog of the Day. NBA: Detailed look at the Heat-Timberwolves line and …
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We are hunting for mispriced probabilities in a heavy slate of NBA and NHL action, utilizing Polymarket data to track where the real money is moving. Today’s analysis focuses on high-efficiency weapons in Orlando and a significant usage vacuum in Los Angeles that creates massive value for player props. We also dive into the ice to find 'Alpha' in 5…
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Tonight’s board is shifting fast as massive injury news impacts the Nuggets vs. 76ers and late-night Pacific matchups. We break down high-conviction plays on the Warriors’ bench depth, Lauri Markkanen's scoring volume, and a high-value NHL Dog of the Day in Washington. We analyze real-time data from prediction markets to find the best entry points …
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Analyze why a perfect 7-0 session only yielded 2.5 units of profit and how to stop overpaying for market safety. We break down the missed alpha in the Vikings and Patriots blowouts and the systemic defensive failures that led to a high-scoring Nuggets-Nets clash. Marcus Webb introduces the 'Conviction Calibration' rule, explaining how traders can m…
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Alex Mercer and Marcus analyze a heavy NBA and NHL slate, focusing on injury-driven market shifts and mispriced probabilities. We break down why the THUNDER and 76ERS are poised to cover large spreads and why the KRAKEN are the ultimate "ugly" road value play. Today's episode dives deep into the statistical nightmares facing the HORNETS without the…
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The AFC North title is on the line at Acrisure Stadium as we break down a massive Sunday night of prediction market opportunities. From historical trends favoring home underdogs to key injury voids in the NBA paint, we are tracking the best value on the board. In this episode, we analyze the Steelers as our Dog of the Day against the Ravens, the Bu…
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Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb dive into a high-stakes Sunday slate, leveraging Polymarket data to find the biggest efficiency gaps in the NFL and NBA. We break down why the Packers and Vikings are set for a defensive slugfest and highlight a significant mispricing in the Eagles-Commanders matchup. Today's analysis covers the Patriots' defensive domin…
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Discover how the 2026 federal shift has turned prediction markets into a regulated financial frontier. David Price and Alex Mercer break down the 'Platform Playbook' to help you navigate event contracts and earn interest on your trades. We dive deep into the mechanics of the industry's biggest players, comparing the ease of DraftKings Predictions w…
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Step out of the classroom and into the stadium with Prediction Market HQ. We’re pulling back the curtain on our Hierarchical Multi-Agent System (HMAS) to show you how AI-driven dialectical reasoning provides a competitive edge in sports markets. Transitioning from market theory to live execution in the arena. The HMAS Engine: How Dialectical Reason…
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Stop betting like a fan and start pricing like a pro. In this masterclass, David Price and Alex Mercer reveal why the 'Long Yes' bias is a constant tax on beginners and how successful traders exploit emotional mispricing to find a repeatable edge. Identifying and exploiting the 'Long Yes' bias in popular markets. Converting sportsbook odds to impli…
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Stop paying the invisible tax hidden inside every standard sports bet. In this episode of Prediction Market HQ, we expose the mathematical reality of the "vig" and why the traditional sportsbook model is fundamentally designed to prevent you from winning long-term. The math of -110 odds and the 52.38% breakeven trap. Why sportsbooks limit or ban su…
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For years, prediction markets in the U.S. operated in a legal gray area, but new regulatory shifts have brought these platforms into the light. In this episode, we explore the two parallel systems governing the industry: federal oversight by the CFTC and state-by-state regulation from gaming commissions. We break down the practical differences betw…
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Stop treating prediction markets like a sportsbook vending machine and start treating them like the peer-to-peer bazaar they actually are. In this episode, David Price and Alex Mercer break down the mechanics of the order book, explaining why impatient traders pay a hidden "tax" on every transaction. Learn how to navigate the spread and use profess…
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You wouldn't accept a raw deal at a casino counter, yet millions of bettors pay a hidden "tax" every Sunday in sportsbook apps. In this premiere episode of Prediction Markets 101, David Price and Alex Mercer pull back the curtain on the "vig" and introduce a more efficient way to play: the prediction market. Learn why price equals probability and h…
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Transcript The cockpit is bathed in the soft, amber glow of a hundred tiny switches, but your eyes are fixed on just one. It’s the nose gear indicator. It should be green. It’s not. Outside the windshield, there is nothing but an absolute, devouring blackness. You’re over the Everglades now, that massive ‘river of grass’ where the horizon disappear…
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Transcript The sound isn't what you expect. It isn't a crack. It isn’t a bang. It’s a low, guttural growl that starts in the soles of your feet and moves up through your shins, into your chest, until your very teeth are vibrating in their sockets. Imagine you are lying in bed. It’s 5:20 in the morning. The air is cold, but you’re warm under a heavy…
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Transcript The air in here is different. It’s heavy. It’s filtered through concrete and iron, carrying the sharp, antiseptic sting of industrial bleach and the faint, lingering scent of old, cold sweat. You’re standing in a hallway where every sound is a metallic snap. A key turning. A bolt sliding. A heavy door groaning on its hinges. Then, silenc…
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Transcript The sun is a white-hot hammer, beating down on twenty thousand people packed into a makeshift wooden stadium in Sydney, Australia. You can smell it before you see it—the thick, heavy scent of stale tobacco, cheap beer, and the salt spray coming off Rushcutters Bay. It’s Boxing Day, 1908. Inside the ring, a man is smiling. It’s not a poli…
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