Canso provides portfolio management services to Canadian institutional and private investors, specializing in fundamental research and security selection. These publications have been prepared by Canso Investment Counsel Ltd. and have been prepared solely for information purposes. Information in these publications is not intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice and is made available on an “as is” basis. Information in these presentations is subject to change without ...
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Join Mike for discussions on intelligence, security, preparedness, building a first world zone in a third world descent, and winning low intensity conflict... or at least not losing.
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The Daily SITREP is your morning intelligence brief on domestic and geopolitical risk. We stream the show live starting at 0800 Central time, Monday through Thursday. You can catch the live stream on YouTube: https://youtube.com/earlywarningnetwork Join us on the High Side for members-only briefings on everything from U.S. politics to supply chains, to low intensity conflict, geopolitics and the risk of war. Start your free 7-day trial here: https://www.earlywarningnetwork.com/trial
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Listen to the April 2025 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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20:32Send us a textBy Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Send us a textBy Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the January 2025 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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16:14Send us a textBy Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the January 2025 Market Observer
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20:05Send us a textBy Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Trump takes on Greenland, Canada, & the Panama Canal [Weds, 08 JAN 25]
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16:36By Forward Observer Radio
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Iran prepares for strikes on nuclear facilities + more [Tues, 07 JAN 25]
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20:55By Forward Observer Radio
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Listen to the October 2024 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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17:07Send us a textBy Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the October 2024 Market Observer
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18:31Send us a text We were writing about the confused state of political and economic affairs in June and wondered, like the Marvin Gaye song title, “What’s Going On?”. We marvelled at how the financial markets were ignoring any bad news in their haste to move ever upwards in price.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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The Far Left's Reaction to a Trump Win in November
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45:08By Forward Observer Radio
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Listen to the July 2024 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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16:46Send us a text We are starting to see more and more credit opportunities emerging. Even though default rates remain relatively low, the increase in distressed transactions points to increasing stress among highly levered companies as interest rates remain higher for longer.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Send us a text "What’s Going On” was the plaintive refrain and title of Marvin Gaye’s 1971 hit song about the controversial Vietnam War and the resulting societal and political upset in the United States. His song of confusion and disappointment seems as relevant to us today. We look with trepidation on the political and social tumult around the wo…
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Disaster Intelligence [Tac Intel Tuesday]
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39:22By Forward Observer Radio
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Listen to the April 2024 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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15:58Send us a text Like George W. Bush standing on the deck of the USS Abraham Lincoln in May 2003, the market appears to have hoisted the “Mission Accomplished” banner on this monetary tightening cycle. Risk premiums have dropped, borrowers have renewed access to capital and the percentage of economists predicting a recession has dropped considerably …
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Send us a text The so-called experts who called for dismal markets in 2023 were nowhere to be found in the 2024 New Year prognostications. Happy days were here again, and nobody wanted to spoil the fortunes from soaring markets that had been handed to investors by saying anything remotely negative this time around.…
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Listen to the January 2024 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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17:56Send us a text Corporate bond markets raced higher in the fourth quarter as inflation continued to decline, labour market strength showed signs of moderating and Federal Reserve policymakers signaled their rate hiking efforts may be coming to an end.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the January 2024 Market Observer
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29:41Send us a text Generations of finance students have been taught Efficient Markets theory, but we have always begged to differ. What happened in 2023 to the financial markets and the economy should give anyone pause about how efficient the financial markets really are.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the October 2023 Corporate Bond Newsletter
15:03
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15:03Send us a text It was a cruel summer in the bond market as interest rates climbed swiftly higher. Yields across both Canadian and U.S. government curves jumped, hitting levels not seen since 2007.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the October 2023 Market Observer
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24:45Send us a text The early 2023 “Will They, Won’t They” and “They Should” bond market consensus of lower interest rate prognostication morphed into a mid-year and more pleading “Why Won’t They??” lower interest rates. It has now grudgingly grown into a more accepting but fatalistic “They Probably Won’t” consensus.…
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By Forward Observer Radio
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Listen to the July 2023 Corporate Bond Newsletter
14:23
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14:23Send us a text Canadians rejoiced the dramatic victory of Nick Taylor who became the first Canuck to win the Canadian Open since 1954. Meanwhile, Canadian bond investors are celebrating a victory of their own, with the return of positive real bond yields. Listen more in the July 2023 Corporate Bond Newsletter…
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Send us a text Is 4% a better target than 2%? This debate should prove interesting. We have always said that more money is much more popular than less money.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Send us a text Have central bankers done enough to get inflation under control? We believe that monetary policy and the credit cycle are powerful forces, but we suspect that things on the inflation front will be a lot more difficult than the fashionable market crowd suspects.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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By Forward Observer Radio
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Listen to the April 2023 Corporate Bond Newsletter
17:35
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17:35Send us a text The year began with swift optimism. Equity markets quickstepped higher, while credit spreads swung tighter. Buyers lined up to purchase new bonds from both investment grade and non-investment grade issuers. In sequence, investors who were knocked down by one of the worst years of their careers bounced back up and danced.…
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Send us a text We continue to see that inflation hopes are springing eternal in the world’s bond markets in the Spring of 2023. The bond market is moving manically between elation that nagging inflation has finally been vanquished, and fears that it has not. It depends on the day, the hour, or even the minute after an “important number” is released…
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#115 - Gio from Opfor Consultation on Mututal Assistance Groups
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50:17By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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#113 - Area Study Night and How to Move Past Mere Sustainment
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21:46By Forward Observer Radio
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Listen to the January 2023 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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14:21Send us a text The recent rise in Canadian bond market yields is something that bond investors have seldom seen in their professional lifetimes, and never for a sustained period. After hitting generational lows from 2010 to 2020 when central bankers became enamoured with ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) and QE (Quantitative Easing), there was nowhe…
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Listen to the December 2022 Market Observer
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20:08Send us a text After vanquishing the Evil Inflator and banishing him to the far regions of the Yield Universe over 40 years ago, the Interest Rate League has been called back into action! Listen more in the December Market Observer.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the October 2022 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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14:17Send us a text Looking at the financial market returns for the third quarter and year-to-date 2022, there was no obvious place to hide as all asset classes suffered. The carnage in fixed income markets is the worst seen in most of our lifetimes.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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Listen to the September 2022 Position Report
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45:28Send us a textBy Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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#110 The First Step in Winning Low Intensity Conflict
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10:28By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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Listen to the July 2022 Corporate Bond Newsletter
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12:19Send us a text The first quarter financial market bruising exploded into full blown carnage by mid-year as second quarter returns pushed deeper into negative territory. Several markets recorded double digit losses, as investors fled the riskiest assets.By Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
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By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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Send us a text Central banks have created far more money than necessary for actual economic activity and the result is the highest inflation in 40 years. Interest rates are up, and the financial markets have shuddered, shattered and fallen precipitously in price. Listen here in the July Market Observer.…
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By Forward Observer Radio
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Out Front #102: Layer 2 Solutions, Part Deux
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32:22By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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By Forward Observer Radio
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Out Front #098: Case Study: Communist Political Agents in Vietnam
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45:05By Forward Observer Radio
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Out Front #097: Red Flag Laws & Open Line Friday
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37:02By Forward Observer Radio
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Out Front #096: Revolution and "The New Nationalism"
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39:33By Forward Observer Radio
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