Best Bayesian Conspiracy Podcasts (2025)

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Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans 36:24

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3d ago36:24

36:24

Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope The AI’s story – Resonance AI Village Short Stories – Manek…

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241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira 1:51:34

5d ago1:51:34

1:51:34

Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud MATS program for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment & Theory…

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240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg 58:23

19d ago58:23

58:23

Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speak…

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Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music 16:26

1M ago16:26

16:26

David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here! Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose! Check them out and our initial episode …

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239 – SymbyAI 1:22:57

1M ago1:22:57

1:22:57

Steven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. LINKS SymbyAI Contact Ashia at [email protected] Kaggle arXiv 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies…

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238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian 1:26:10

2M ago1:26:10

1:26:10

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The trap 01:19:00 – Guild of …

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237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian 1:26:53

2M ago1:26:53

1:26:53

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack He…

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236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan 1:47:29

3M ago1:47:29

1:47:29

Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & phil…

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235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen 2:24:14

3M ago2:24:14

2:24:14

Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender Con…

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234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice 1:52:54

3M ago1:52:54

1:52:54

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 –…

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233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten 1:31:01

4M ago1:31:01

1:31:01

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan 4:33

4M ago4:33

4:33

The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett 1:31:20

4M ago1:31:20

1:31:20

John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties 11:57

5M ago11:57

11:57

Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics 22:00

5M ago22:00

22:00

Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode breakBy The Bayesian Conspiracy

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230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich 1:21:24

6M ago1:21:24

1:21:24

Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins 4:08

6M ago4:08

4:08

How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat 6:31

6M ago6:31

6:31

Why you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A) This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024. Based on this Twitter PollBy The Bayesian Conspiracy

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229 – Integrating Emotions 1:26:37

6M ago1:26:37

1:26:37

Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – [email protected] LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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LW Census 2024 1:07

7M ago1:07

1:07

If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka 2:06:28

7M ago2:06:28

2:06:28

Oliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here! LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon 1:46:12

7M ago1:46:12

1:46:12

We talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. 🙁 Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline 1:38:49

8M ago1:38:49

1:38:49

We discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “The Illusion of Moral Decline” LINKS The Illusion of Moral Decline Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie Lighthaven – Eternal September Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review The Mind Killer Scott Aaronson … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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225 – Live at Lighthaven! 2:38:42

8M ago2:38:42

2:38:42

Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bonus? The 10-Finger Demon 53:32

8M ago53:32

53:32

A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Live Show At Lighthaven 0:49

8M ago0:49

0:49

If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at [email protected] please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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224 – Cringe Gates and Cultural Drift 1:41:37

9M ago1:41:37

1:41:37

We discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here! From … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 36 – AI Grifters in Birmingham 13:08

9M ago13:08

13:08

AskWho just attended a “lecture” by AI Grifter Tania Duarte Slide The “TESCREAL” Bungle by Ozy Brennan AskWho Casts AI podcastBy The Bayesian Conspiracy

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223 – Going Back to the Classics 2:06:50

9M ago2:06:50

2:06:50

Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bonus – Discord Culture (preview) 16:43

9M ago16:43

16:43

Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 35 – Disproving The Blindsight Thesis 9:10

9M ago9:10

9:10

GPT-o1 demonstrates the Blindsight thesis is likely wrong. Peter Watts on Blindsight Andrew Cutler on origins of consciousness part 1 and part 2 Thou Art GodshatterBy The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 34 – Content Moderation is Infosec 15:29

9M ago15:29

15:29

Steven wanted to share an interesting idea from an article that draws a neat parallel between content moderation and information security. The post discussed here is Como is Infosec.By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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222 – Consciousness As Recursive Reflections with Daniel Böttger 1:59:09

10M ago1:59:09

1:59:09

We talk with Daniel about his ACX guest post that posits that thoughts are conscious, rather than brains. LINKS Consciousness As Recursive Reflections Seven Secular Sermons Seven Secular Sermons video on TwitterX LightHaven’s Eternal September 0:00:05 – Recursive Reflections 01:29:30 … Continue reading →…

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Bayes Blast 33 – Porn Sims 7:48

10M ago7:48

7:48

Can we achieve our true potential? based on – Interview Day At Thiel Capital also mentioned: Meetups Everywhere 2024 Are You Jesus or HitlerBy The Bayesian Conspiracy

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221 – Why The Field? Why Zombies?? with Liam 2:28:02

10M ago2:28:02

2:28:02

Eneasz tries to understand why someone would posit a Chalmers Field, and brings up the horrifying implications. LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The previous TBC episode, where we first discussed other aspects of this … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 32 – Canadian Health Care 5:23

10M ago5:23

5:23

A surprising update for two previously maple-pilled YanksBy The Bayesian Conspiracy

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220 – Chalmer’s Zombies, with Liam 2:03:06

10M ago2:03:06

2:03:06

We dig into the classic LW post Zombies! Zombies? and talk a lot of philosophy with Liam from the 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast. I (Steven) spent a bunch of time trying to export the conversation from Discord that Liam, … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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219 – On Excellence, with Tracing Woodgrains 1:22:26

11M ago1:22:26

1:22:26

Inspired by Trace’s speech about excellence at VibeCamp 3, Eneasz and Steven speak to Tracing Woodgrains about Excellence and its various aspects LINKS Trace’s SubStack Trace’s Twitter Wes on TracingWoodgrains as the Nietzschean Superman Gymnastics Then vs Now video Evolution … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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218 – Bentham’s Bulldog and the Best Argument for God 2:14:29

11M ago2:14:29

2:14:29

Spurred by comments from a couple of episodes ago, we wanted to make sure we didn’t misrepresent Matthew’s position and he agreed to come lay it out for us on the show. Check out the links below to dive in … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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217 – Consensual Violence with Rikard 1:50:09

12M ago1:50:09

1:50:09

Rikard joins us to speak about the benefits of consensual violence LINKS Rikard’s Substack – Drunken Masterpieces Rikard is @rikardhjort Twitter Defense Against the Dark Arts is just the Dark Arts The Ultimate Self-Defense Championship Armchair Violence The poem Rikard … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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216 – On Dying (And Cryonics) 2:28:27

1y ago2:28:27

2:28:27

Rachel Zuber joins us to talk about hospice work, dying in America, and why she’s less optimistic about cryonics now. LINKS All the Living and the Dead Caitlin Doughty on YouTube CI cryonics case reports Places of Death in the … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 31 – Blowing Hot Air (Free Version) 18:33

1y ago18:33

18:33

Brandon comes back to explain how wind works. Steven and Brandon are not the two you want if you want to quickly get to the point so this went on for a good while. It’s an awesome conversation and Patrons … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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215 – Rationalism and Religion, with Brandon Hendrickson 2:18:59

1y ago2:18:59

2:18:59

Brandon Hendrickson takes over the podcast! He interrogates Eneasz about his past, and this crazy rationalist religion idea, and introduces a vast knowledge base of secular religion development. LINKS Brandon’s substack, The Lost Tools of Learning Simple square visualization to … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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214 – Is Death Good? Simone and Malcolm Collins return! 1:44:17

1y ago1:44:17

1:44:17

The Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all. Paid Bonus content – … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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213 – Are Transformer Models Aligned By Default?

1y ago

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Our species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman 🙂 LINKS Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability Anthropic is hiring Episode 93 of The Mind Killer Talkin’ Fallout VibeCamp 0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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212 – Feedback Extravaganza 1:40:29

1y ago1:40:29

1:40:29

A bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any bullshit we say or if … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 30 – Less.Online 23:04

1y ago23:04

23:04

Less.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it. Get all the details you could want plus tickets … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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211 – The Social Justice Religion with Tracing Woodgrains 1:44:38

1y ago1:44:38

1:44:38

“Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this. Paid Bonus content – How do furries fit into Social Justice Progressivism? LINKS The Twitter Essay … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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210 – Demographic Collapse & Religion with Simone & Malcolm Collins 1:42:14

1y ago1:42:14

1:42:14

We speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done? LINKS Based Camp YouTube and Podcast Pronatalist.org The mentioned where to … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Bayes Blast 29 – VibeClipse 31:07

1y ago31:07

31:07

Steven and Eneasz regale each other and you with our stories, experiences, and takeaways from VibeClipse. The video Eneasz mentioned with him and especially Jen reacting to totality. 🙂 Also, as hinted in this blast and discussed in the last … Continue reading →By The Bayesian Conspiracy