The NIDS View is meant to give listeners inside access to the thoughts and ideas of the member-practitioners of NIDS including our Fellows, Analysts, and Interns. For each episode we pick a current deterrence topic and have a cordial, exciting and sometimes funny discussion. Each episode is a stand-alone topical and is expected to increase awareness of deterrence thinking, expand the next generation of deterrence professionals, and prepare the workforce whose mission is to ensure peace, secu ...
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1
The Implications of China's New Non-Nuclear Hydrogen Bomb
38:20
38:20
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38:20Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss China's development of a non-nuclear hydrogen bomb, exploring its scientific basis, implications for military strategy, and the broader context of China's advancements in military technology. They analyze the potential uses of such weapons, particularly in relation to Taiwan, and the messaging strategies employed by Ch…
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Navigating the US-China Relationship: Myths and Realities
37:18
37:18
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37:18Inspired by Miles Yu's recent article, " A dangerous myth of US-China Cold War tensions," Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the complexities of US-China relations. Through a Cold War prism, they explore economic imbalances, trade deficits, and the implications of intellectual property theft and their impact on deterrence. The conversation delves into h…
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Adam and Curtis analyze a recent Foreign Affairs article, " Europe's Nuclear Trilemma," by Fabian Hoffmann and Mark Bell. Alongside reviewing the author's intriguing three options, Adam and Curtis discuss the unfounded fear of a US/NATO split, the economic and political contexts of U.S. defense spending, the significance of NATO contributions from …
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Future-Proofing National Security: We Can't Just Wish for Deterrence
38:21
38:21
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38:21Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss their top three wishes for improving the nuclear enterprise and national security as we move through 2025. Jim emphasizes the need for revitalizing the public's understanding of nuclear issues and workforce development. Curtis advocates for a cultural shift towards deterrence over defense and more effective deterrence …
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Diplomacy and Deterrence in the Korean Peninsula
41:03
41:03
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41:03Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the escalating threats from North Korea under Kim Jong Un, the historical context of North Korea's relations with South Korea, Japan, and the United States, and the implications of nuclear weapons in the region. They explore the dynamics of international alliances, particularly the relationship between North Korea and …
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B-21s, French Nukes, and DPRK Subs, Oh My
40:16
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40:16In this episode, Curtis hosts a March 2025 news round-up with Adam and Jim, focusing on four articles: STRATCOM's call for 145 B-21 bombers, North Korea's development of nuclear submarines, Poland's push for nuclear weapons, and France's modernization of its nuclear arsenal. The conversation highlights nuclear weapon developments, and the importanc…
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Are Nuclear Weapons Meant to Deter All War?
35:20
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35:20Adam, Curtis, and Jim address the idea posited in a recent foreign affairs article, "When Nuclear Weapons Fail to Deter." In recent years, the complex role of nuclear weapons in global security and deterrence effectiveness has been tested. The discussion highlights various historical and contemporary examples, including the dynamics between nuclear…
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One Roadmap to Rebuilding the Arsenal: A Discussion
40:12
40:12
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40:12Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Bob Peters' recent Heritage Foundation article outlining recommendations for rebuilding the nuclear arsenal. They explore the implications of executive orders, the importance of public awareness, and several more interesting items on the list. The conversation hotly debates the question of a new NPR and bombers. Chapte…
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Deterrence & Arms Control: Success or Failure? Part 2
31:02
31:02
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31:02Adam, Curtis, and Jim continue discussing Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History." The conversation reviews the second four of the eight common but demonstrably false worldview beliefs, as posited by Dr. Payne, and assesses his suggestions to alter these idealist canards. The discussion co…
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Deterrence & Arms Control: Success or Failure? Part 1
37:06
37:06
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37:06Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History," exploring the historical context of U.S. nuclear deterrence policy, the failures of idealism in foreign policy, and the need for accountability in Washington. The conversation reviews the first four of the eight common …
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Iron Dome for America: A New Era of Defense
36:23
36:23
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36:23Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss President Trump's executive order regarding the establishment of an Iron Dome for America, exploring its implications for national security, deterrence theory, and the costs associated with missile defense systems.
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Peace Through Strength: A Strategic Necessity
36:45
36:45
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36:45In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss a recent article by Curtis and senior fellow Kirk Fansher about President Trump's 'Peace Through Strength.' They explore the challenges of near-term deterrence enhancement during a sluggish modernization timeline and the necessity of negotiating from a position of strength. The conversation also touche…
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Navigating the Nuclear Deterrence Summit: Insights and Challenges
39:24
39:24
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39:24In this episode of the NIDS View, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent 2025 Nuclear Deterrence Summit, focusing on the challenges faced in nuclear facility construction, the complexities of logistics and oversight, and the cultural shifts within the nuclear policy landscape. They explore the need for a more streamlined approach to nuclear proje…
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Curtis hosts a discussion with Jim and Maj Gen (Ret.) Garrett Harencak, focusing on recent developments in nuclear news, particularly regarding the New START Treaty and Russia's compliance, informal agreements in arms control, Japan's nuclear deterrence strategy, and the importance of extended deterrence in global security.…
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Are NATO's Precision Weapons De-stabilizing?
37:59
37:59
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37:59Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss an article from SIPRI positing that NATO's conventional precision strike weapon systems are potentially destabilizing, particularly concerning Russia's nukes. They explore their impact on regional deterrence, politics, and defense spending.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim welcome Retired Lieutenant General Inbum Chun to discuss the issue of whether South Korea should develop its own nuclear arsenal in response to the threats posed by North Korea and China
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Navigating 2025: Insights on America First
35:47
35:47
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35:47Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the implications of the 'America First' policy, contrasting views from Keith Payne and Hal Brands, and the importance of national identity and sovereignty in U.S. governance.
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"Best Of" Episode: Potential impact of a Fall 2022 Russian Nuclear Detonation
40:31
40:31
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40:31In this "Best of" episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent revelation by CIA and MI6 intel leaders that Putin almost deployed nuclear weapons in the Ukraine conflict in 2022. The hosts discuss the likely targets and effects of such a scenario, as well as the strategic motivations behind it. They also touch on the science of nuclear weapons…
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"Best Of " Episode: The Great Nuclear Era Comeback
34:31
34:31
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34:31Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Matt Loh's article in Business Insider titled "The nuclear weapons era is making a comeback, and experts say we're all not paying attention." The guys discuss this resurgence of nuclear weapons as a hot topic and the impact the changing strategic environment is making on deterrence and disarmament thinkers alike. https…
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AI in NC3—Can a Risk Assessment Model be Applied?
40:40
40:40
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40:40In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in nuclear command and control systems, referencing a recent WOTR article that suggests using a risk assessment model similar to that in civilian nuclear power. They examine the challenges of integrating AI into decision-making, the associated human factors, and…
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Do We Need Another Nuclear Posture Review
38:52
38:52
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38:52Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss a recent article by Madelyn Creedon and Frank Miller that highlights the urgent need for nuclear modernization and suggests bypassing the lengthy process of a 2025 NPR to maintain progress. The conversation explores the advantages and disadvantages of a new NPR and its contribution to timely deterrence strategies, gove…
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Putin's Updated Nuclear Doctrine and its Impact on Strategic Messaging
40:08
40:08
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40:08Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the implications of Russia's updated nuclear doctrine in light of White House approval to let Ukraine launch US-made ATACMS into Russia and the strategic messaging surrounding the Ukraine conflict.
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"Best Of Episode" - Keeping AI Honest in Nuclear Command and Control
36:51
36:51
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36:51In this "Best Of" episode which originally aired on October 9th, 2024, Adam, Curtis, and Jim are joined by Jonathan Cefalu, the founder of Preamble. Mr. Cefalu shares insights on enhancing artificial intelligence (AI) trust, specifically in nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems. https://warontherocks.com/2023/04/ai-at-war/…
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Trump's Likely Nuclear Deterrence Policy and the Role of Allies
39:38
39:38
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39:38Adam and Curtis discuss possible nuclear deterrence policy under the Trump administration, the potential for increased nuclear participation from allies, and his realist approach to adversaries.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss an article advocating for a minimalist approach to nuclear deterrence as a means of cost savings. The hosts discuss the concept of minimum deterrence in nuclear strategy and address misconceptions about the U.S. nuclear arsenal's effectiveness under a minimalist strategy.…
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DPRK in the Ukraine plus AI mandates for the Pentagon
46:22
46:22
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46:22Curtis hosts former intelligence officer Jim Klingmeyer as they discuss the recent deployment of North Korean troops to Ukraine, the potential for an AI arms race in national security, and the latest DIA intel report.
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Sole Authority and Nuclear Launch Decisions
39:45
39:45
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39:45In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the concept of sole authority in nuclear weapons launch decisions, addressing misconceptions and the complexities of the decision-making process. They emphasize the importance of command and control, historical context, and the role of the president while also examining recent legislative proposals tha…
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Adam, Curtis, Jim, and special guest Dr. Lani Kass provide insight into the dynamics of Israeli deterrence, the financial aspects of the Middle East conflict, and the challenges Israel faces in restoring its deterrent posture.
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U.S. Plutonium Pit Production: Back In Business
42:43
42:43
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42:43In this episode, Curtis and Jim discuss the National Nuclear Security Administration's recent achievement of producing the first plutonium pit in 35 years. They delve into the complex process of their production, the challenges faced in ramping up production to meet future demands, and speculations regarding a recent seismic event in Iran. *Special…
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Keeping AI Honest in Nuclear Command and Control
36:48
36:48
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36:48Adam, Curtis, and Jim are joined by Jonathan Cefalu, the founder of Preamble. Mr. Cefalu shares insights on enhancing artificial intelligence (AI) trust, specifically in nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems.
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Transparent Ocean and Emerging Threats to the Sea Leg of the Nuclear Triad
33:49
33:49
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33:49In this episode of the NIDS view, Adam and Jim are joined by Senior Fellow, Rob Kittinger, as they discuss the concept of a transparent ocean and its implications for military strategy and nuclear deterrence.
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In this episode of The NIDS View podcast, Adam, Jim, and Curtis host Gerald Goodfellow, a retired Air Force general and CEO of the Small Business Consulting Corporation, to discuss the challenges of military acquisition and contracting and the need to foster small business innovation.
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Potential Impact of a Fall 2022 Russian Nuclear Detonation
40:17
40:17
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40:17Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent revelation by CIA and MI6 intel leaders that Putin almost deployed nuclear weapons in the Ukraine conflict in 2022. The hosts discuss the likely targets and effects of such a scenario, as well as the strategic motivations behind it. They also touch on the science of nuclear weapons and the misconceptions sur…
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An Update on the Ukrainian Conflict And Nuclear Deterrence
39:30
39:30
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39:30Adam, Curtis, and special guest John Swegle discuss the ongoing war in Ukraine and its broader implications, including the changing character of warfare, the toll on casualties and infrastructure, the role of nuclear deterrence, and the winners and losers of the conflict to date.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Matt Loh's article in Business Insider titled "The nuclear weapons era is making a comeback, and experts say we're all not paying attention." The guys discuss this resurgence of nuclear weapons as a hot topic and the impact the changing strategic environment is making on deterrence and disarmament thinkers alike. https…
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1
Perspectives on the USSTRATCOM Annual Deterrence Symposium
42:08
42:08
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42:08In this episode, Adam and Curtis discuss the recent STRATCOM deterrence symposium and a panel featuring Congressman John Garamendi, who advocated for fewer nukes and elimination of the ICBM. In addition to offering responses to the congressman's arguments, they also review the different perspectives of realists and idealists when it comes to nuclea…
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Jim, Chris Stone, and Dr. Wallace Clark discuss several concerns, issues, and challenges facing the Nuclear Command Control and Communication System (NC3). The discussion reviews what can be done to enable a more survivable and effective integrated space and ground NC3 architecture for national defense.…
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The New Nuclear Alliance Against the West
34:53
34:53
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34:53Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the article 'The New Nuclear Alliance Against the West' by Steve Blank, which explores the cooperative relationship between Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran. They look at motivations behind this alliance and implications for global security.
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Is the U.S. the Defender of the World Order? Current Events in China
36:24
36:24
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36:24In this episode, Adam is joined by Alex and special guest, Fei-Ling Wang, to discuss the current events in China and the future of the American-led international order.
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Should America Put Its Bombers Back on Alert?
36:49
36:49
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36:49In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the need to place bombers back on alert, the challenges of maintaining a small bomber force, the technical aspects, and their value for deterrence.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim engage in a thought-provoking discussion on Dr. Brad Roberts' article "The Next Chapter in US Nuclear Policy." They dissect Dr. Roberts' adversaries' theory of victory, the complexities of nuclear disarmament, and the crucial role of a credible deterrent.
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Does the Lack of a “Two-War Strategy” Erode Extended Deterrence?
37:27
37:27
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37:27Adam, Curtis, and Jim assess David Trachtenberg's article "how the lack of a two-war strategy erodes extended deterrence and assurance" and discuss the implications for national security strategy.
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Adam, Alex, and Curtis discuss China's nuclear arsenal expansion, their motives, and the need for the US to address the issue.
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National Security News Round Up (June 2024)
42:53
42:53
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42:53Curtis and Kirk discuss several current national security news topics occurring in June 2024. The new annual SIPRI report release, NATO's call for more nukes (and Russia's response), and Putin's latest peace negotiation offer. https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2024/role-nuclear-weapons-grows-geopolitical-relations-deteriorate-new-sipri-year…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss an article by Peter Huessy in response to an article by Tara Drozdenko arguing for the elimination of the ICBM leg of the triad.
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A Foreign Policy of Restraint vs Intervention, Which is Most Effective?
39:50
39:50
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39:50Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Hal Brands' article "An 'America First' World" published on ForeignAffairs.com. Dr. Brands assesses what a Second "America First" presidency might mean for foreign and defense policy. The guys debate interventionism versus non-interventionism, evaluating which approach is better and how deterrence might impact the poli…
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Adam, Chris Stone, and Kerry Kartchner discuss Russian space activities and their potential violations of the Outer Space Treaty as well as impact on global security.
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NATO's Anniversary and Geopolitical Utility
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39:22
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39:22Jim Stokes joins Adam and Alex as they discuss the role of NATO in the current geopolitical landscape.
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How Does The U.S. Deal with Russia Post-War?
37:27
37:27
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37:27Adam, Alex, and special guest, Mike Carey, discuss the future of Russia and China after the war in Ukraine and the potential conflict over Taiwan.
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the merits of article 'What We Don't Know About Nuclear Deterrence Could Hurt Us' by Paul Poast. The hosts explore the validity of the points made in the article and the challenges of measuring the effectiveness of deterrence.
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