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The NIDS View

The National Institute for Deterrence Studies

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The NIDS View is meant to give listeners inside access to the thoughts and ideas of the member-practitioners of NIDS including our Fellows, Analysts, and Interns. For each episode we pick a current deterrence topic and have a cordial, exciting and sometimes funny discussion. Each episode is a stand-alone topical and is expected to increase awareness of deterrence thinking, expand the next generation of deterrence professionals, and prepare the workforce whose mission is to ensure peace, secu ...
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss China's development of a non-nuclear hydrogen bomb, exploring its scientific basis, implications for military strategy, and the broader context of China's advancements in military technology. They analyze the potential uses of such weapons, particularly in relation to Taiwan, and the messaging strategies employed by Ch…
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Inspired by Miles Yu's recent article, " A dangerous myth of US-China Cold War tensions," Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the complexities of US-China relations. Through a Cold War prism, they explore economic imbalances, trade deficits, and the implications of intellectual property theft and their impact on deterrence. The conversation delves into h…
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Adam and Curtis analyze a recent Foreign Affairs article, " Europe's Nuclear Trilemma," by Fabian Hoffmann and Mark Bell. Alongside reviewing the author's intriguing three options, Adam and Curtis discuss the unfounded fear of a US/NATO split, the economic and political contexts of U.S. defense spending, the significance of NATO contributions from …
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss their top three wishes for improving the nuclear enterprise and national security as we move through 2025. Jim emphasizes the need for revitalizing the public's understanding of nuclear issues and workforce development. Curtis advocates for a cultural shift towards deterrence over defense and more effective deterrence …
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the escalating threats from North Korea under Kim Jong Un, the historical context of North Korea's relations with South Korea, Japan, and the United States, and the implications of nuclear weapons in the region. They explore the dynamics of international alliances, particularly the relationship between North Korea and …
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In this episode, Curtis hosts a March 2025 news round-up with Adam and Jim, focusing on four articles: STRATCOM's call for 145 B-21 bombers, North Korea's development of nuclear submarines, Poland's push for nuclear weapons, and France's modernization of its nuclear arsenal. The conversation highlights nuclear weapon developments, and the importanc…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim address the idea posited in a recent foreign affairs article, "When Nuclear Weapons Fail to Deter." In recent years, the complex role of nuclear weapons in global security and deterrence effectiveness has been tested. The discussion highlights various historical and contemporary examples, including the dynamics between nuclear…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Bob Peters' recent Heritage Foundation article outlining recommendations for rebuilding the nuclear arsenal. They explore the implications of executive orders, the importance of public awareness, and several more interesting items on the list. The conversation hotly debates the question of a new NPR and bombers. Chapte…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim continue discussing Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History." The conversation reviews the second four of the eight common but demonstrably false worldview beliefs, as posited by Dr. Payne, and assesses his suggestions to alter these idealist canards. The discussion co…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History," exploring the historical context of U.S. nuclear deterrence policy, the failures of idealism in foreign policy, and the need for accountability in Washington. The conversation reviews the first four of the eight common …
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In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss a recent article by Curtis and senior fellow Kirk Fansher about President Trump's 'Peace Through Strength.' They explore the challenges of near-term deterrence enhancement during a sluggish modernization timeline and the necessity of negotiating from a position of strength. The conversation also touche…
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In this episode of the NIDS View, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent 2025 Nuclear Deterrence Summit, focusing on the challenges faced in nuclear facility construction, the complexities of logistics and oversight, and the cultural shifts within the nuclear policy landscape. They explore the need for a more streamlined approach to nuclear proje…
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In this "Best of" episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent revelation by CIA and MI6 intel leaders that Putin almost deployed nuclear weapons in the Ukraine conflict in 2022. The hosts discuss the likely targets and effects of such a scenario, as well as the strategic motivations behind it. They also touch on the science of nuclear weapons…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Matt Loh's article in Business Insider titled "The nuclear weapons era is making a comeback, and experts say we're all not paying attention." The guys discuss this resurgence of nuclear weapons as a hot topic and the impact the changing strategic environment is making on deterrence and disarmament thinkers alike. https…
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In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in nuclear command and control systems, referencing a recent WOTR article that suggests using a risk assessment model similar to that in civilian nuclear power. They examine the challenges of integrating AI into decision-making, the associated human factors, and…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss a recent article by Madelyn Creedon and Frank Miller that highlights the urgent need for nuclear modernization and suggests bypassing the lengthy process of a 2025 NPR to maintain progress. The conversation explores the advantages and disadvantages of a new NPR and its contribution to timely deterrence strategies, gove…
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In this "Best Of" episode which originally aired on October 9th, 2024, Adam, Curtis, and Jim are joined by Jonathan Cefalu, the founder of Preamble. Mr. Cefalu shares insights on enhancing artificial intelligence (AI) trust, specifically in nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems. https://warontherocks.com/2023/04/ai-at-war/…
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In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the concept of sole authority in nuclear weapons launch decisions, addressing misconceptions and the complexities of the decision-making process. They emphasize the importance of command and control, historical context, and the role of the president while also examining recent legislative proposals tha…
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In this episode, Curtis and Jim discuss the National Nuclear Security Administration's recent achievement of producing the first plutonium pit in 35 years. They delve into the complex process of their production, the challenges faced in ramping up production to meet future demands, and speculations regarding a recent seismic event in Iran. *Special…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the recent revelation by CIA and MI6 intel leaders that Putin almost deployed nuclear weapons in the Ukraine conflict in 2022. The hosts discuss the likely targets and effects of such a scenario, as well as the strategic motivations behind it. They also touch on the science of nuclear weapons and the misconceptions sur…
  continue reading
 
Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Matt Loh's article in Business Insider titled "The nuclear weapons era is making a comeback, and experts say we're all not paying attention." The guys discuss this resurgence of nuclear weapons as a hot topic and the impact the changing strategic environment is making on deterrence and disarmament thinkers alike. https…
  continue reading
 
In this episode, Adam and Curtis discuss the recent STRATCOM deterrence symposium and a panel featuring Congressman John Garamendi, who advocated for fewer nukes and elimination of the ICBM. In addition to offering responses to the congressman's arguments, they also review the different perspectives of realists and idealists when it comes to nuclea…
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Curtis and Kirk discuss several current national security news topics occurring in June 2024. The new annual SIPRI report release, NATO's call for more nukes (and Russia's response), and Putin's latest peace negotiation offer. https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2024/role-nuclear-weapons-grows-geopolitical-relations-deteriorate-new-sipri-year…
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Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Hal Brands' article "An 'America First' World" published on ForeignAffairs.com. Dr. Brands assesses what a Second "America First" presidency might mean for foreign and defense policy. The guys debate interventionism versus non-interventionism, evaluating which approach is better and how deterrence might impact the poli…
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